Barnwell Industries Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.54
| BRN Stock | USD 1.73 0.03 1.76% |
Barnwell |
Barnwell Industries Target Price Odds to finish over 2.54
The tendency of Barnwell Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 2.54 or more in 90 days |
| 1.73 | 90 days | 2.54 | roughly 2.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Barnwell Industries to move over $ 2.54 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.28 (This Barnwell Industries probability density function shows the probability of Barnwell Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Barnwell Industries price to stay between its current price of $ 1.73 and $ 2.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.32 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Barnwell Industries has a beta of 0.4 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Barnwell Industries average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Barnwell Industries will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Barnwell Industries has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Barnwell Industries Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Barnwell Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barnwell Industries. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Barnwell Industries Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Barnwell Industries is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Barnwell Industries' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Barnwell Industries, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Barnwell Industries within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.5 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Barnwell Industries Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Barnwell Industries for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Barnwell Industries can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Barnwell Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Barnwell Industries may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 25.27 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (811 K) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 14.52 M. | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Royale Energy and Barnwell Industries Critical Analysis - Defense World |
Barnwell Industries Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Barnwell Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Barnwell Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barnwell Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.8 M |
Barnwell Industries Technical Analysis
Barnwell Industries' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Barnwell Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Barnwell Industries. In general, you should focus on analyzing Barnwell Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Barnwell Industries Predictive Forecast Models
Barnwell Industries' time-series forecasting models is one of many Barnwell Industries' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Barnwell Industries' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Barnwell Industries
Checking the ongoing alerts about Barnwell Industries for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Barnwell Industries help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Barnwell Industries generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Barnwell Industries may become a speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 25.27 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (811 K) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 14.52 M. | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Royale Energy and Barnwell Industries Critical Analysis - Defense World |
Check out Barnwell Industries Backtesting, Barnwell Industries Valuation, Barnwell Industries Correlation, Barnwell Industries Hype Analysis, Barnwell Industries Volatility, Barnwell Industries History as well as Barnwell Industries Performance. To learn how to invest in Barnwell Stock, please use our How to Invest in Barnwell Industries guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Barnwell Industries. If investors know Barnwell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Barnwell Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Earnings Share (0.38) | Revenue Per Share 2.428 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Barnwell Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Barnwell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Barnwell Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Barnwell Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Barnwell Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Barnwell Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Barnwell Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Barnwell Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barnwell Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.