Barratt Developments Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 13.29
| BTDPY Stock | USD 11.55 0.01 0.09% |
Barratt |
Barratt Developments Target Price Odds to finish below 13.29
The tendency of Barratt Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 13.29 after 90 days |
| 11.55 | 90 days | 13.29 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Barratt Developments to stay under $ 13.29 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Barratt Developments PLC probability density function shows the probability of Barratt Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Barratt Developments PLC price to stay between its current price of $ 11.55 and $ 13.29 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Barratt Developments has a beta of 0.88 suggesting Barratt Developments PLC market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Barratt Developments is expected to follow. Additionally Barratt Developments PLC has an alpha of 0.0733, implying that it can generate a 0.0733 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Barratt Developments Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Barratt Developments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barratt Developments PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Barratt Developments Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Barratt Developments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Barratt Developments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Barratt Developments PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Barratt Developments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Barratt Developments Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Barratt Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Barratt Developments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barratt Developments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 506.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Barratt Developments Technical Analysis
Barratt Developments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Barratt Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Barratt Developments PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Barratt Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Barratt Developments Predictive Forecast Models
Barratt Developments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Barratt Developments' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Barratt Developments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Barratt Developments in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Barratt Developments' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Barratt Developments options trading.
Additional Tools for Barratt Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Barratt Developments' price analysis, check to measure Barratt Developments' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Barratt Developments is operating at the current time. Most of Barratt Developments' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Barratt Developments' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Barratt Developments' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Barratt Developments to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.