Beaver Coal Co Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 2950.0

BVERS Stock  USD 3,350  249.00  8.03%   
Beaver Coal's future price is the expected price of Beaver Coal instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Beaver Coal Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Beaver Coal Backtesting, Beaver Coal Valuation, Beaver Coal Correlation, Beaver Coal Hype Analysis, Beaver Coal Volatility, Beaver Coal History as well as Beaver Coal Performance.
  
Please specify Beaver Coal's target price for which you would like Beaver Coal odds to be computed.

Beaver Coal Target Price Odds to finish below 2950.0

The tendency of Beaver Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 2,950  or more in 90 days
 3,350 90 days 2,950 
about 22.74
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Beaver Coal to drop to $ 2,950  or more in 90 days from now is about 22.74 (This Beaver Coal Co probability density function shows the probability of Beaver Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Beaver Coal price to stay between $ 2,950  and its current price of $3350.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.96 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Beaver Coal has a beta of 0.0874 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Beaver Coal average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Beaver Coal Co will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Beaver Coal Co has an alpha of 0.1589, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Beaver Coal Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Beaver Coal

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Beaver Coal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3,3483,3503,352
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,6782,6803,685
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3,3563,3583,360
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3,3503,3503,350
Details

Beaver Coal Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Beaver Coal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Beaver Coal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Beaver Coal Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Beaver Coal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.09
σ
Overall volatility
84.72
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Beaver Coal Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Beaver Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Beaver Coal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Beaver Coal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Dividend Yield0.125
Forward Annual Dividend Rate400

Beaver Coal Technical Analysis

Beaver Coal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Beaver Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Beaver Coal Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Beaver Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Beaver Coal Predictive Forecast Models

Beaver Coal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Beaver Coal's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Beaver Coal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Beaver Coal in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Beaver Coal's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Beaver Coal options trading.

Additional Tools for Beaver Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Beaver Coal's price analysis, check to measure Beaver Coal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Beaver Coal is operating at the current time. Most of Beaver Coal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Beaver Coal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Beaver Coal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Beaver Coal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.