Bygg Partner (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 14.64

BYGGP Stock  SEK 16.05  0.10  0.62%   
Bygg Partner's future price is the expected price of Bygg Partner instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bygg Partner i performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bygg Partner Backtesting, Bygg Partner Valuation, Bygg Partner Correlation, Bygg Partner Hype Analysis, Bygg Partner Volatility, Bygg Partner History as well as Bygg Partner Performance.
  
Please specify Bygg Partner's target price for which you would like Bygg Partner odds to be computed.

Bygg Partner Target Price Odds to finish below 14.64

The tendency of Bygg Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 14.64  or more in 90 days
 16.05 90 days 14.64 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bygg Partner to drop to kr 14.64  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Bygg Partner i probability density function shows the probability of Bygg Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bygg Partner i price to stay between kr 14.64  and its current price of kr16.05 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bygg Partner i has a beta of -0.27 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bygg Partner are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bygg Partner i is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bygg Partner i has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bygg Partner Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bygg Partner

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bygg Partner i. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.6416.1517.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.1916.7018.21
Details

Bygg Partner Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bygg Partner is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bygg Partner's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bygg Partner i, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bygg Partner within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.14
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.27
σ
Overall volatility
0.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Bygg Partner Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bygg Partner for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bygg Partner i can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bygg Partner i generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bygg Partner Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bygg Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bygg Partner's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bygg Partner's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments168.6 M

Bygg Partner Technical Analysis

Bygg Partner's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bygg Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bygg Partner i. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bygg Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bygg Partner Predictive Forecast Models

Bygg Partner's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bygg Partner's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bygg Partner's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bygg Partner i

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bygg Partner for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bygg Partner i help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bygg Partner i generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 36.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Bygg Stock Analysis

When running Bygg Partner's price analysis, check to measure Bygg Partner's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bygg Partner is operating at the current time. Most of Bygg Partner's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bygg Partner's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bygg Partner's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bygg Partner to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.