Cooper Standard (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.41
| C31 Stock | EUR 13.70 0.20 1.48% |
Cooper |
Cooper Standard Target Price Odds to finish below 1.41
The tendency of Cooper Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 1.41 or more in 90 days |
| 13.70 | 90 days | 1.41 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cooper Standard to drop to € 1.41 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cooper Standard Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Cooper Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cooper Standard Holdings price to stay between € 1.41 and its current price of €13.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.77 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.41 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cooper Standard will likely underperform. Additionally Cooper Standard Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cooper Standard Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cooper Standard
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cooper Standard Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cooper Standard Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cooper Standard is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cooper Standard's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cooper Standard Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cooper Standard within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Cooper Standard Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cooper Standard for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cooper Standard Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cooper Standard had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Cooper Standard has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Cooper Standard has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (215.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 129.79 M. | |
| Cooper Standard Holdings has accumulated about 262.17 M in cash with (36.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 14.96, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Cooper Standard Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cooper Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cooper Standard's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cooper Standard's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.1 M |
Cooper Standard Technical Analysis
Cooper Standard's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cooper Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cooper Standard Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cooper Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cooper Standard Predictive Forecast Models
Cooper Standard's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cooper Standard's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cooper Standard's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cooper Standard Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cooper Standard for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cooper Standard Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cooper Standard had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Cooper Standard has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Cooper Standard has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.53 B. Net Loss for the year was (215.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 129.79 M. | |
| Cooper Standard Holdings has accumulated about 262.17 M in cash with (36.15 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 14.96, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Other Information on Investing in Cooper Stock
Cooper Standard financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cooper Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cooper with respect to the benefits of owning Cooper Standard security.