Crown Castle Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 104.24

CCI Stock  USD 105.44  0.94  0.90%   
Crown Castle's future price is the expected price of Crown Castle instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Crown Castle performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Crown Castle Backtesting, Crown Castle Valuation, Crown Castle Correlation, Crown Castle Hype Analysis, Crown Castle Volatility, Crown Castle History as well as Crown Castle Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Crown Stock please use our How to Invest in Crown Castle guide.
  
As of now, Crown Castle's Price Fair Value is increasing as compared to previous years. Please specify Crown Castle's target price for which you would like Crown Castle odds to be computed.

Crown Castle Target Price Odds to finish below 104.24

The tendency of Crown Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 104.24  or more in 90 days
 105.44 90 days 104.24 
about 7.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crown Castle to drop to $ 104.24  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.54 (This Crown Castle probability density function shows the probability of Crown Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crown Castle price to stay between $ 104.24  and its current price of $105.44 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.13 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Crown Castle has a beta of -0.46 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Crown Castle are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Crown Castle is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Crown Castle has an alpha of 0.019, implying that it can generate a 0.019 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Crown Castle Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Crown Castle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crown Castle. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crown Castle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
104.10105.51106.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
96.5497.95115.98
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
106.23107.65109.06
Details
19 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
95.44104.88116.42
Details

Crown Castle Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crown Castle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crown Castle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crown Castle, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crown Castle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.46
σ
Overall volatility
4.93
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Crown Castle Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crown Castle for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crown Castle can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crown Castle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Crown Castle has 28.81 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.62, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Crown Castle has a current ratio of 0.45, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Crown to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 95.0% of Crown Castle shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 30th of September 2024 Crown Castle paid $ 1.565 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: CCi Voice Acquires IP Genie in Strategic Move to Expand and Enhance Northeast Footprint, Focus on Municipal Market

Crown Castle Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Crown Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Crown Castle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crown Castle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding434 M
Cash And Short Term Investments105 M

Crown Castle Technical Analysis

Crown Castle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crown Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crown Castle. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crown Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Crown Castle Predictive Forecast Models

Crown Castle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crown Castle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crown Castle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Crown Castle

Checking the ongoing alerts about Crown Castle for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crown Castle help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Crown Castle generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Crown Castle has 28.81 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.62, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Crown Castle has a current ratio of 0.45, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Crown to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Over 95.0% of Crown Castle shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 30th of September 2024 Crown Castle paid $ 1.565 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: CCi Voice Acquires IP Genie in Strategic Move to Expand and Enhance Northeast Footprint, Focus on Municipal Market
When determining whether Crown Castle offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Crown Castle's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Crown Castle Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Crown Castle Stock:
Check out Crown Castle Backtesting, Crown Castle Valuation, Crown Castle Correlation, Crown Castle Hype Analysis, Crown Castle Volatility, Crown Castle History as well as Crown Castle Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Crown Stock please use our How to Invest in Crown Castle guide.
You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.
Is Telecom Tower REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Crown Castle. If investors know Crown will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Crown Castle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.142
Dividend Share
6.26
Earnings Share
2.82
Revenue Per Share
15.191
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Crown Castle is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Crown that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Crown Castle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Crown Castle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Crown Castle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Crown Castle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Crown Castle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Crown Castle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crown Castle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.