Crown Castle Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

CCI Stock  USD 88.87  0.23  0.26%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Crown Castle on the next trading day is expected to be 90.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.91. Crown Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Crown Castle's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Crown Castle's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Crown Castle's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Crown Castle, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Crown Castle's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.066
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.49
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.42
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.435
Wall Street Target Price
113.1765
Using Crown Castle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crown Castle from the perspective of Crown Castle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Crown Castle using Crown Castle's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Crown using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Crown Castle's stock price.

Crown Castle Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Crown Castle's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Crown. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Crown Castle stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
98.3737
Short Percent
0.0354
Short Ratio
4.27
Shares Short Prior Month
8.3 M
50 Day MA
90.6784

Crown Castle Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Crown Castle's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Crown. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Crown can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Crown Castle. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Crown Castle's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Crown Castle.

Crown Castle Implied Volatility

    
  0.32  
Crown Castle's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Crown Castle stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Crown Castle's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Crown Castle stock will not fluctuate a lot when Crown Castle's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Crown Castle on the next trading day is expected to be 90.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.91.

Crown Castle after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 88.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crown Castle to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Crown Stock please use our How to Invest in Crown Castle guide.The Crown Castle's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 11.02, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 1.26. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 316.3 M. The Crown Castle's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (3.3 B).

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Crown Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Crown Castle's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Crown Castle's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Crown Castle stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Crown Castle's open interest, investors have to compare it to Crown Castle's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Crown Castle is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Crown. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Crown Castle Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Crown price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Crown using various technical indicators. When you analyze Crown charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Crown Castle Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Crown Castle's financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1997-12-31
Previous Quarter
94 M
Current Value
233 M
Quarterly Volatility
677.6 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Crown Castle is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Crown Castle value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Crown Castle Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Crown Castle on the next trading day is expected to be 90.62 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18, mean absolute percentage error of 2.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 71.91.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crown Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crown Castle's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Crown Castle Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Crown CastleCrown Castle Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Crown Castle Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Crown Castle's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Crown Castle's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 89.34 and 91.89, respectively. We have considered Crown Castle's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
88.87
90.62
Expected Value
91.89
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crown Castle stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crown Castle stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.889
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.1788
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.013
SAESum of the absolute errors71.9069
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Crown Castle. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Crown Castle. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Crown Castle

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crown Castle. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crown Castle's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
87.5988.8790.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.7475.0297.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
86.0088.3990.78
Details
21 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
102.99113.18125.63
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Crown Castle

For every potential investor in Crown, whether a beginner or expert, Crown Castle's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Crown Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Crown. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Crown Castle's price trends.

Crown Castle Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Crown Castle stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Crown Castle could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Crown Castle by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Crown Castle Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Crown Castle's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Crown Castle's current price.

Crown Castle Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Crown Castle stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Crown Castle shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Crown Castle stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Crown Castle entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Crown Castle Risk Indicators

The analysis of Crown Castle's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Crown Castle's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crown stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Crown Castle offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Crown Castle's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Crown Castle Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Crown Castle Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Crown Castle to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Crown Stock please use our How to Invest in Crown Castle guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Telecom Tower REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Crown Castle. If investors know Crown will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Crown Castle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.066
Dividend Share
5.255
Earnings Share
(9.05)
Revenue Per Share
14.767
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Crown Castle is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Crown that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Crown Castle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Crown Castle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Crown Castle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Crown Castle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Crown Castle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Crown Castle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crown Castle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.