Central Europe Russia Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 11.73

CEE Fund  USD 12.22  0.08  0.66%   
Central Europe's future price is the expected price of Central Europe instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Central Europe Russia performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Central Europe Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Central Europe Correlation, Central Europe Hype Analysis, Central Europe Volatility, Central Europe History as well as Central Europe Performance.
  
Please specify Central Europe's target price for which you would like Central Europe odds to be computed.

Central Europe Target Price Odds to finish below 11.73

The tendency of Central Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.73  or more in 90 days
 12.22 90 days 11.73 
about 89.1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Central Europe to drop to $ 11.73  or more in 90 days from now is about 89.1 (This Central Europe Russia probability density function shows the probability of Central Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Central Europe Russia price to stay between $ 11.73  and its current price of $12.22 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.81 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Central Europe has a beta of 0.96 suggesting Central Europe Russia market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Central Europe is expected to follow. Additionally Central Europe Russia has an alpha of 0.0758, implying that it can generate a 0.0758 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Central Europe Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Central Europe

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Europe Russia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Central Europe's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.3012.1413.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.9612.8014.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.5211.3713.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.6511.5013.34
Details

Central Europe Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Central Europe is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Central Europe's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Central Europe Russia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Central Europe within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.96
σ
Overall volatility
0.76
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

Central Europe Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Central Europe for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Central Europe Russia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: 500 Emerging Europe Unveils Its New Brand e2vc - The Recursive
Central Europe Russia generated five year return of -17.0%

Central Europe Technical Analysis

Central Europe's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Central Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Central Europe Russia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Central Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Central Europe Predictive Forecast Models

Central Europe's time-series forecasting models is one of many Central Europe's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Central Europe's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Central Europe Russia

Checking the ongoing alerts about Central Europe for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Central Europe Russia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: 500 Emerging Europe Unveils Its New Brand e2vc - The Recursive
Central Europe Russia generated five year return of -17.0%

Other Information on Investing in Central Fund

Central Europe financial ratios help investors to determine whether Central Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Central with respect to the benefits of owning Central Europe security.
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