Companhia Energética (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.93

CIDA Stock  EUR 1.93  0.08  4.32%   
Companhia Energética's future price is the expected price of Companhia Energética instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Companhia Energtica de performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Companhia Energética Backtesting, Companhia Energética Valuation, Companhia Energética Correlation, Companhia Energética Hype Analysis, Companhia Energética Volatility, Companhia Energética History as well as Companhia Energética Performance.
  
Please specify Companhia Energética's target price for which you would like Companhia Energética odds to be computed.

Companhia Energética Target Price Odds to finish over 1.93

The tendency of Companhia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.93 90 days 1.93 
about 24.11
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Companhia Energética to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 24.11 (This Companhia Energtica de probability density function shows the probability of Companhia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Companhia Energtica de has a beta of -1.12 suggesting Moreover Companhia Energtica de has an alpha of 1.5462, implying that it can generate a 1.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Companhia Energética Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Companhia Energética

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Companhia Energética. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.101.9313.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.071.4512.88
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.7313.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.861.932.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Companhia Energética. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Companhia Energética's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Companhia Energética's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Companhia Energética.

Companhia Energética Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Companhia Energética is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Companhia Energética's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Companhia Energtica de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Companhia Energética within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.12
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Companhia Energética Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Companhia Energética for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Companhia Energética can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Companhia Energética is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Companhia Energética may become a speculative penny stock
Companhia Energética appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Companhia Energética Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Companhia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Companhia Energética's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Companhia Energética's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.2 B

Companhia Energética Technical Analysis

Companhia Energética's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Companhia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Companhia Energtica de. In general, you should focus on analyzing Companhia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Companhia Energética Predictive Forecast Models

Companhia Energética's time-series forecasting models is one of many Companhia Energética's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Companhia Energética's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Companhia Energética

Checking the ongoing alerts about Companhia Energética for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Companhia Energética help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Companhia Energética is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Companhia Energética may become a speculative penny stock
Companhia Energética appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in Companhia Stock

Companhia Energética financial ratios help investors to determine whether Companhia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Companhia with respect to the benefits of owning Companhia Energética security.