Centuria Industrial (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.14
| CIP Stock | 2.94 0.03 1.01% |
Centuria |
Centuria Industrial Target Price Odds to finish below 2.14
The tendency of Centuria Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2.14 or more in 90 days |
| 2.94 | 90 days | 2.14 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Centuria Industrial to drop to 2.14 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Centuria Industrial Reit probability density function shows the probability of Centuria Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Centuria Industrial Reit price to stay between 2.14 and its current price of 2.94 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.87 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Centuria Industrial has a beta of 0.085 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Centuria Industrial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Centuria Industrial Reit will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Centuria Industrial Reit has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Centuria Industrial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Centuria Industrial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centuria Industrial Reit. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Centuria Industrial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Centuria Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Centuria Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Centuria Industrial Reit, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Centuria Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Centuria Industrial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Centuria Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Centuria Industrial Reit can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Centuria Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysts expect 5 percent to 8 percent dividend yields from these ASX stocks - MSN |
Centuria Industrial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Centuria Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Centuria Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Centuria Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 634.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 16.5 M |
Centuria Industrial Technical Analysis
Centuria Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Centuria Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Centuria Industrial Reit. In general, you should focus on analyzing Centuria Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Centuria Industrial Predictive Forecast Models
Centuria Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Centuria Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Centuria Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Centuria Industrial Reit
Checking the ongoing alerts about Centuria Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Centuria Industrial Reit help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Centuria Industrial generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Analysts expect 5 percent to 8 percent dividend yields from these ASX stocks - MSN |
Additional Tools for Centuria Stock Analysis
When running Centuria Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Centuria Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Centuria Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Centuria Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Centuria Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Centuria Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Centuria Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.