Cheetah Mobile Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.99
| CMCM Stock | USD 5.78 0.61 11.80% |
Cheetah |
Cheetah Mobile Target Price Odds to finish below 4.99
The tendency of Cheetah Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 4.99 or more in 90 days |
| 5.78 | 90 days | 4.99 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cheetah Mobile to drop to $ 4.99 or more in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Cheetah Mobile probability density function shows the probability of Cheetah Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cheetah Mobile price to stay between $ 4.99 and its current price of $5.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.5 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cheetah Mobile has a beta of 0.45 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cheetah Mobile average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cheetah Mobile will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cheetah Mobile has an alpha of 0.623, implying that it can generate a 0.62 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cheetah Mobile Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cheetah Mobile
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cheetah Mobile. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cheetah Mobile's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cheetah Mobile Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cheetah Mobile is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cheetah Mobile's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cheetah Mobile, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cheetah Mobile within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.62 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.45 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.49 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.11 |
Cheetah Mobile Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cheetah Mobile for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cheetah Mobile can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cheetah Mobile is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Cheetah Mobile appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 669.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (593.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 631.5 M. | |
| Cheetah Mobile has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Asian Equities Traded in the US as American Depositary Receipts Flat in Tuesday Trading - MSN |
Cheetah Mobile Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cheetah Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cheetah Mobile's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cheetah Mobile's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
Cheetah Mobile Technical Analysis
Cheetah Mobile's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cheetah Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cheetah Mobile. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cheetah Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cheetah Mobile Predictive Forecast Models
Cheetah Mobile's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cheetah Mobile's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cheetah Mobile's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cheetah Mobile
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cheetah Mobile for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cheetah Mobile help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cheetah Mobile is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Cheetah Mobile appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 669.5 M. Net Loss for the year was (593.87 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 631.5 M. | |
| Cheetah Mobile has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Asian Equities Traded in the US as American Depositary Receipts Flat in Tuesday Trading - MSN |
Check out Cheetah Mobile Backtesting, Cheetah Mobile Valuation, Cheetah Mobile Correlation, Cheetah Mobile Hype Analysis, Cheetah Mobile Volatility, Cheetah Mobile History as well as Cheetah Mobile Performance. To learn how to invest in Cheetah Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cheetah Mobile guide.You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cheetah Mobile. If investors know Cheetah will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cheetah Mobile listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.99) | Earnings Share (2.45) | Revenue Per Share 23.754 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.123 | Return On Assets (0.03) |
The market value of Cheetah Mobile is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cheetah that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cheetah Mobile's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cheetah Mobile's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cheetah Mobile's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cheetah Mobile's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cheetah Mobile's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cheetah Mobile is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cheetah Mobile's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.