Cmg Holdings Group Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0016
| CMGO Stock | USD 0 0.0003 14.29% |
CMG |
CMG Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0016
The tendency of CMG Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0 or more in 90 days |
| 0 | 90 days | 0 | about 15.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CMG Holdings to drop to $ 0 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.96 (This CMG Holdings Group probability density function shows the probability of CMG Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CMG Holdings Group price to stay between $ 0 and its current price of $0.0018 at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.89 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.04 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CMG Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally CMG Holdings Group has an alpha of 0.504, implying that it can generate a 0.5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CMG Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CMG Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CMG Holdings Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CMG Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CMG Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CMG Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CMG Holdings Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CMG Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0003 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
CMG Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CMG Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CMG Holdings Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CMG Holdings Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| CMG Holdings Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| CMG Holdings Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| CMG Holdings Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
CMG Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CMG Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CMG Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CMG Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 438.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 595.4 K |
CMG Holdings Technical Analysis
CMG Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CMG Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CMG Holdings Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing CMG Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CMG Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
CMG Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many CMG Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CMG Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CMG Holdings Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about CMG Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CMG Holdings Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CMG Holdings Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| CMG Holdings Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| CMG Holdings Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| CMG Holdings Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years |
Other Information on Investing in CMG Pink Sheet
CMG Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether CMG Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in CMG with respect to the benefits of owning CMG Holdings security.