Cumulus Media Class Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.58
| CMLS Stock | USD 0.70 0.03 4.11% |
Cumulus |
Cumulus Media Target Price Odds to finish below 0.58
The tendency of Cumulus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.58 or more in 90 days |
| 0.70 | 90 days | 0.58 | about 1.16 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cumulus Media to drop to $ 0.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.16 (This Cumulus Media Class probability density function shows the probability of Cumulus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cumulus Media Class price to stay between $ 0.58 and its current price of $0.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.93 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cumulus Media has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cumulus Media average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cumulus Media Class will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cumulus Media Class has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Cumulus Media Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cumulus Media
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cumulus Media Class. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cumulus Media Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cumulus Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cumulus Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cumulus Media Class, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cumulus Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
Cumulus Media Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cumulus Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cumulus Media Class can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cumulus Media Class generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cumulus Media Class has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Cumulus Media Class has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 844.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (117.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 595.98 M. | |
| Cumulus Media Class has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Mark Levin to Host New Original Podcast Series With Dr. Larry Arnn, President of Hillsdale College |
Cumulus Media Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cumulus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cumulus Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cumulus Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 80.7 M |
Cumulus Media Technical Analysis
Cumulus Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cumulus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cumulus Media Class. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cumulus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cumulus Media Predictive Forecast Models
Cumulus Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cumulus Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cumulus Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cumulus Media Class
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cumulus Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cumulus Media Class help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cumulus Media Class generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Cumulus Media Class has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Cumulus Media Class has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 844.55 M. Net Loss for the year was (117.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 595.98 M. | |
| Cumulus Media Class has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| About 17.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Mark Levin to Host New Original Podcast Series With Dr. Larry Arnn, President of Hillsdale College |
Additional Tools for Cumulus Stock Analysis
When running Cumulus Media's price analysis, check to measure Cumulus Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cumulus Media is operating at the current time. Most of Cumulus Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cumulus Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cumulus Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cumulus Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.