Cnh Industrial Nv Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.96
| CNH Stock | 12.15 0.23 1.93% |
CNH |
CNH Industrial Target Price Odds to finish over 16.96
The tendency of CNH Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 16.96 or more in 90 days |
| 12.15 | 90 days | 16.96 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CNH Industrial to move over 16.96 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This CNH Industrial NV probability density function shows the probability of CNH Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CNH Industrial NV price to stay between its current price of 12.15 and 16.96 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.08 suggesting CNH Industrial NV market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, CNH Industrial is expected to follow. Additionally CNH Industrial NV has an alpha of 0.1528, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CNH Industrial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CNH Industrial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CNH Industrial NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CNH Industrial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CNH Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CNH Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CNH Industrial NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CNH Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
CNH Industrial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CNH Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CNH Industrial NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CNH Industrial NV was previously known as CNH Industrial NV and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol CNHI. | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Deere Q4 Earnings Top Estimates, Sales Fall YY on Low Volumes |
CNH Industrial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CNH Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CNH Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CNH Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.4 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5 B |
CNH Industrial Technical Analysis
CNH Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CNH Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CNH Industrial NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing CNH Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CNH Industrial Predictive Forecast Models
CNH Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many CNH Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CNH Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CNH Industrial NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about CNH Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CNH Industrial NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CNH Industrial NV was previously known as CNH Industrial NV and was traded on New York Stock Exchange under the symbol CNHI. | |
| About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Deere Q4 Earnings Top Estimates, Sales Fall YY on Low Volumes |
Check out CNH Industrial Backtesting, CNH Industrial Valuation, CNH Industrial Correlation, CNH Industrial Hype Analysis, CNH Industrial Volatility, CNH Industrial History as well as CNH Industrial Performance. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Agricultural & Farm Machinery space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CNH Industrial. If investors know CNH will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CNH Industrial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Dividend Share 0.47 | Earnings Share 1.54 | Revenue Per Share 17.881 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.16) |
The market value of CNH Industrial NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CNH that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CNH Industrial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CNH Industrial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CNH Industrial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CNH Industrial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CNH Industrial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CNH Industrial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CNH Industrial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.