CNH Industrial Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CNH Stock   9.65  0.30  3.21%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CNH Industrial NV on the next trading day is expected to be 9.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.65. CNH Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of CNH Industrial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The RSI of CNH Industrial's stock price is under 61 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 5th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling CNH, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 61

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of CNH Industrial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CNH Industrial NV, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using CNH Industrial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CNH Industrial NV from the perspective of CNH Industrial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CNH Industrial NV on the next trading day is expected to be 9.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.65.

CNH Industrial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CNH Industrial to cross-verify your projections.

CNH Industrial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CNH price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNH using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNH charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for CNH Industrial - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When CNH Industrial prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in CNH Industrial price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of CNH Industrial NV.

CNH Industrial Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of CNH Industrial NV on the next trading day is expected to be 9.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CNH Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CNH Industrial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

CNH Industrial Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest CNH IndustrialCNH Industrial Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

CNH Industrial Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting CNH Industrial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CNH Industrial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.68 and 11.59, respectively. We have considered CNH Industrial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
9.65
9.63
Expected Value
11.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CNH Industrial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CNH Industrial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.037
MADMean absolute deviation0.1635
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0165
SAESum of the absolute errors9.6486
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past CNH Industrial observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older CNH Industrial NV observations.

Predictive Modules for CNH Industrial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CNH Industrial NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
7.709.6311.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.3611.2913.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for CNH Industrial

For every potential investor in CNH, whether a beginner or expert, CNH Industrial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CNH Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CNH. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CNH Industrial's price trends.

CNH Industrial Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CNH Industrial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CNH Industrial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CNH Industrial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

CNH Industrial NV Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of CNH Industrial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of CNH Industrial's current price.

CNH Industrial Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CNH Industrial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CNH Industrial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CNH Industrial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CNH Industrial NV entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

CNH Industrial Risk Indicators

The analysis of CNH Industrial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CNH Industrial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cnh stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether CNH Industrial NV offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of CNH Industrial's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Cnh Industrial Nv Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Cnh Industrial Nv Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CNH Industrial to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Agricultural & Farm Machinery space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CNH Industrial. If investors know CNH will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CNH Industrial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of CNH Industrial NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CNH that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CNH Industrial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CNH Industrial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CNH Industrial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CNH Industrial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CNH Industrial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CNH Industrial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CNH Industrial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.