Cardno Limited Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.12

COLDF Stock  USD 0.12  0.00  0.00%   
Cardno's future price is the expected price of Cardno instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cardno Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cardno Backtesting, Cardno Valuation, Cardno Correlation, Cardno Hype Analysis, Cardno Volatility, Cardno History as well as Cardno Performance.
  
Please specify Cardno's target price for which you would like Cardno odds to be computed.

Cardno Target Price Odds to finish over 0.12

The tendency of Cardno Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.12 90 days 0.12 
about 92.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cardno to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 92.54 (This Cardno Limited probability density function shows the probability of Cardno Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cardno has a beta of 0.26 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cardno average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cardno Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cardno Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cardno Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cardno

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cardno Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cardno's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.124.42
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.124.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.134.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.120.120.12
Details

Cardno Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cardno is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cardno's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cardno Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cardno within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.32

Cardno Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cardno for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cardno Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cardno Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cardno Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cardno Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cardno Limited has accumulated about 46.61 M in cash with (21.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Cardno Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cardno Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cardno's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cardno's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding39.1 M

Cardno Technical Analysis

Cardno's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cardno Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cardno Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cardno Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cardno Predictive Forecast Models

Cardno's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cardno's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cardno's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cardno Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cardno for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cardno Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cardno Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cardno Limited has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cardno Limited has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cardno Limited has accumulated about 46.61 M in cash with (21.73 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Roughly 66.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Cardno Pink Sheet

Cardno financial ratios help investors to determine whether Cardno Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Cardno with respect to the benefits of owning Cardno security.