Compugroup Medical (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.58
| COP Stock | EUR 21.58 0.14 0.64% |
Compugroup |
Compugroup Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 15.58
The tendency of Compugroup Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 15.58 or more in 90 days |
| 21.58 | 90 days | 15.58 | about 52.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Compugroup Medical to drop to € 15.58 or more in 90 days from now is about 52.21 (This Compugroup Medical SE probability density function shows the probability of Compugroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Compugroup Medical price to stay between € 15.58 and its current price of €21.58 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.41 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Compugroup Medical has a beta of 0.38 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Compugroup Medical average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Compugroup Medical SE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Compugroup Medical SE has an alpha of 0.8522, implying that it can generate a 0.85 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Compugroup Medical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Compugroup Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Compugroup Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Compugroup Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Compugroup Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Compugroup Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Compugroup Medical SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Compugroup Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.85 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
Compugroup Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Compugroup Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Compugroup Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Compugroup Medical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Compugroup Medical has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Compugroup Medical SE has accumulated 587.08 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 132.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Compugroup Medical has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Compugroup Medical until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Compugroup Medical's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Compugroup Medical sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Compugroup to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Compugroup Medical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 50.0% of Compugroup Medical shares are held by company insiders |
Compugroup Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Compugroup Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Compugroup Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Compugroup Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 52.3 M |
Compugroup Medical Technical Analysis
Compugroup Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Compugroup Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Compugroup Medical SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Compugroup Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Compugroup Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Compugroup Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Compugroup Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Compugroup Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Compugroup Medical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Compugroup Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Compugroup Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Compugroup Medical appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Compugroup Medical has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Compugroup Medical SE has accumulated 587.08 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 132.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Compugroup Medical has a current ratio of 0.92, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Compugroup Medical until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Compugroup Medical's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Compugroup Medical sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Compugroup to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Compugroup Medical's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 50.0% of Compugroup Medical shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Compugroup Stock
Compugroup Medical financial ratios help investors to determine whether Compugroup Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Compugroup with respect to the benefits of owning Compugroup Medical security.