Cosmos Health Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.12

COSM Stock  USD 0.77  0.02  2.53%   
Cosmos Health's future price is the expected price of Cosmos Health instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cosmos Health performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cosmos Health Backtesting, Cosmos Health Valuation, Cosmos Health Correlation, Cosmos Health Hype Analysis, Cosmos Health Volatility, Cosmos Health History as well as Cosmos Health Performance.
To learn how to invest in Cosmos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Cosmos Health guide.
  
At this time, Cosmos Health's Price Book Value Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 4th of December 2024, Price To Book Ratio is likely to grow to 0.49, while Price Earnings Ratio is likely to drop (0.96). Please specify Cosmos Health's target price for which you would like Cosmos Health odds to be computed.

Cosmos Health Target Price Odds to finish over 1.12

The tendency of Cosmos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 1.12  or more in 90 days
 0.77 90 days 1.12 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cosmos Health to move over $ 1.12  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Cosmos Health probability density function shows the probability of Cosmos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cosmos Health price to stay between its current price of $ 0.77  and $ 1.12  at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.86 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cosmos Health has a beta of 0.5 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cosmos Health average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cosmos Health will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cosmos Health has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cosmos Health Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cosmos Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cosmos Health. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cosmos Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.755.53
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.566.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.895.67
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.644.004.44
Details

Cosmos Health Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cosmos Health is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cosmos Health's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cosmos Health, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cosmos Health within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.54
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
0.15
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Cosmos Health Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cosmos Health for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cosmos Health can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cosmos Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cosmos Health has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cosmos Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cosmos Health has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 53.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.33 M.
Cosmos Health currently holds about 322.37 K in cash with (15.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Cosmos Health has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Taglich Brothers Releases Updated Coverage on Cosmos Health Projects Positive EPS for 2025 and Sets 3 Price Target, Nearly 300 percent Above Current Share Price

Cosmos Health Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cosmos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cosmos Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cosmos Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.9 M

Cosmos Health Technical Analysis

Cosmos Health's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cosmos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cosmos Health. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cosmos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cosmos Health Predictive Forecast Models

Cosmos Health's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cosmos Health's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cosmos Health's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cosmos Health

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cosmos Health for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cosmos Health help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cosmos Health generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cosmos Health has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Cosmos Health has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Cosmos Health has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the previous year's revenue of 53.38 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.33 M.
Cosmos Health currently holds about 322.37 K in cash with (15.64 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Cosmos Health has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Taglich Brothers Releases Updated Coverage on Cosmos Health Projects Positive EPS for 2025 and Sets 3 Price Target, Nearly 300 percent Above Current Share Price
When determining whether Cosmos Health is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cosmos Health's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cosmos Health's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cosmos Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Health Care Providers & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cosmos Health. If investors know Cosmos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cosmos Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(2.45)
Revenue Per Share
3.733
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.068
Return On Assets
(0.20)
Return On Equity
(0.57)
The market value of Cosmos Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cosmos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cosmos Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cosmos Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cosmos Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cosmos Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cosmos Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cosmos Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cosmos Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.