Craven House (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.28
| CRV Stock | 0.28 0.00 0.00% |
Craven |
Craven House Target Price Odds to finish over 0.28
The tendency of Craven Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.28 | 90 days | 0.28 | about 24.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Craven House to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 24.96 (This Craven House Capital probability density function shows the probability of Craven Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Craven House Capital has a beta of -4.15 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Craven House Capital are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Craven House is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Craven House Capital has an alpha of 0.5688, implying that it can generate a 0.57 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Craven House Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Craven House
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Craven House Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Craven House Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Craven House is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Craven House's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Craven House Capital, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Craven House within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -4.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Craven House Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Craven House for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Craven House Capital can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Craven House Capital is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Craven House Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Craven House Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Craven House Capital has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (893 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Craven House generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Craven House Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Craven Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Craven House's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Craven House's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2000.00 |
Craven House Technical Analysis
Craven House's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Craven Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Craven House Capital. In general, you should focus on analyzing Craven Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Craven House Predictive Forecast Models
Craven House's time-series forecasting models is one of many Craven House's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Craven House's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Craven House Capital
Checking the ongoing alerts about Craven House for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Craven House Capital help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Craven House Capital is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Craven House Capital has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Craven House Capital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Craven House Capital has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (893 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Craven House generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 34.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Craven Stock
Craven House financial ratios help investors to determine whether Craven Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Craven with respect to the benefits of owning Craven House security.