CMS Energy (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 62.20
| CSG Stock | EUR 64.00 0.50 0.79% |
CMS |
CMS Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 62.20
The tendency of CMS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 62.20 or more in 90 days |
| 64.00 | 90 days | 62.20 | about 16.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CMS Energy to drop to € 62.20 or more in 90 days from now is about 16.73 (This CMS Energy probability density function shows the probability of CMS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CMS Energy price to stay between € 62.20 and its current price of €64.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 42.4 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon CMS Energy has a beta of -0.15 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding CMS Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, CMS Energy is likely to outperform the market. Additionally CMS Energy has an alpha of 0.0757, implying that it can generate a 0.0757 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). CMS Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CMS Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CMS Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.CMS Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CMS Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CMS Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CMS Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CMS Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
CMS Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CMS Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CMS Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CMS Energy has accumulated 13.12 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.94, which is about average as compared to similar companies. CMS Energy has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CMS Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CMS Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CMS Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CMS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CMS Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 95.0% of CMS Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
CMS Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CMS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CMS Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CMS Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 291.3 M |
CMS Energy Technical Analysis
CMS Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CMS Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CMS Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing CMS Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CMS Energy Predictive Forecast Models
CMS Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many CMS Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CMS Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CMS Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about CMS Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CMS Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CMS Energy has accumulated 13.12 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.94, which is about average as compared to similar companies. CMS Energy has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CMS Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CMS Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CMS Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CMS to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CMS Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 95.0% of CMS Energy shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in CMS Stock
When determining whether CMS Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze CMS Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CMS Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CMS Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out CMS Energy Backtesting, CMS Energy Valuation, CMS Energy Correlation, CMS Energy Hype Analysis, CMS Energy Volatility, CMS Energy History as well as CMS Energy Performance. For more detail on how to invest in CMS Stock please use our How to Invest in CMS Energy guide.You can also try the Commodity Directory module to find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges.