Crescent Star (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.75
| CSIL Stock | 3.00 0.08 2.74% |
Crescent |
Crescent Star Target Price Odds to finish over 2.75
The tendency of Crescent Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 2.75 in 90 days |
| 3.00 | 90 days | 2.75 | about 72.57 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Crescent Star to stay above 2.75 in 90 days from now is about 72.57 (This Crescent Star Insurance probability density function shows the probability of Crescent Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Crescent Star Insurance price to stay between 2.75 and its current price of 3.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.79 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Crescent Star has a beta of 0.96 suggesting Crescent Star Insurance market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Crescent Star is expected to follow. Additionally Crescent Star Insurance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Crescent Star Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Crescent Star
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crescent Star Insurance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Crescent Star Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Crescent Star is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Crescent Star's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Crescent Star Insurance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Crescent Star within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.96 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Crescent Star Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Crescent Star for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Crescent Star Insurance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Crescent Star generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Crescent Star has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Crescent Star Technical Analysis
Crescent Star's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Crescent Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Crescent Star Insurance. In general, you should focus on analyzing Crescent Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Crescent Star Predictive Forecast Models
Crescent Star's time-series forecasting models is one of many Crescent Star's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Crescent Star's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Crescent Star Insurance
Checking the ongoing alerts about Crescent Star for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Crescent Star Insurance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Crescent Star generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Crescent Star has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
Other Information on Investing in Crescent Stock
Crescent Star financial ratios help investors to determine whether Crescent Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Crescent with respect to the benefits of owning Crescent Star security.