Customers Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 45.34

CUBI Stock  USD 55.34  0.42  0.76%   
Customers Bancorp's future price is the expected price of Customers Bancorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Customers Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Customers Bancorp Backtesting, Customers Bancorp Valuation, Customers Bancorp Correlation, Customers Bancorp Hype Analysis, Customers Bancorp Volatility, Customers Bancorp History as well as Customers Bancorp Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Customers Stock please use our How to Invest in Customers Bancorp guide.
  
As of now, Customers Bancorp's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. The Customers Bancorp's current Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is estimated to increase to 22.81, while Price Book Value Ratio is projected to decrease to 1.06. Please specify Customers Bancorp's target price for which you would like Customers Bancorp odds to be computed.

Customers Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 45.34

The tendency of Customers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 45.34  or more in 90 days
 55.34 90 days 45.34 
about 17.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Customers Bancorp to drop to $ 45.34  or more in 90 days from now is about 17.52 (This Customers Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Customers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Customers Bancorp price to stay between $ 45.34  and its current price of $55.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 74.32 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 3.18 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Customers Bancorp will likely underperform. Additionally Customers Bancorp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Customers Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Customers Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Customers Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
51.9055.2558.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.1050.4560.87
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
43.5347.8353.09
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.361.481.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Customers Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Customers Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Customers Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Customers Bancorp.

Customers Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Customers Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Customers Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Customers Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Customers Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.25
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.18
σ
Overall volatility
4.29
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Customers Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Customers Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Customers Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Customers Bancorp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Customers Bancorp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Customers Bancorp, Inc. Investors Please contact the Portnoy Law Firm to recover your losses. ...

Customers Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Customers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Customers Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Customers Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding32.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.8 B

Customers Bancorp Technical Analysis

Customers Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Customers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Customers Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Customers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Customers Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models

Customers Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Customers Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Customers Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Customers Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Customers Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Customers Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Customers Bancorp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Customers Bancorp has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Customers Bancorp, Inc. Investors Please contact the Portnoy Law Firm to recover your losses. ...
When determining whether Customers Bancorp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Customers Bancorp's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Customers Bancorp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Customers Bancorp Stock:
Check out Customers Bancorp Backtesting, Customers Bancorp Valuation, Customers Bancorp Correlation, Customers Bancorp Hype Analysis, Customers Bancorp Volatility, Customers Bancorp History as well as Customers Bancorp Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Customers Stock please use our How to Invest in Customers Bancorp guide.
You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Customers Bancorp. If investors know Customers will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Customers Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.49)
Earnings Share
6.16
Revenue Per Share
21.346
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.25)
Return On Assets
0.01
The market value of Customers Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Customers that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Customers Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Customers Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Customers Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Customers Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Customers Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Customers Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Customers Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.