Calibercos Class A Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.27

CWD Stock   1.27  0.02  1.60%   
CaliberCos' future price is the expected price of CaliberCos instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of CaliberCos Class A performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out CaliberCos Analysis, CaliberCos Valuation, CaliberCos Correlation, CaliberCos Hype Analysis, CaliberCos Volatility, CaliberCos Price History as well as CaliberCos Performance.
At present, CaliberCos' Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Cash Flow Ratio is expected to grow to 668.72, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to (14.69). Please specify CaliberCos' target price for which you would like CaliberCos odds to be computed.

CaliberCos Target Price Odds to finish over 1.27

The tendency of CaliberCos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.27 90 days 1.27 
about 79.28
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CaliberCos to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.28 (This CaliberCos Class A probability density function shows the probability of CaliberCos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.73 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, CaliberCos will likely underperform. Additionally CaliberCos Class A has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   CaliberCos Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for CaliberCos

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CaliberCos Class A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CaliberCos' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.857.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.132.687.88
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
6.377.007.77
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.46-1.46-1.46
Details

CaliberCos Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CaliberCos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CaliberCos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CaliberCos Class A, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CaliberCos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-1.34
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.73
σ
Overall volatility
0.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

CaliberCos Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CaliberCos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CaliberCos Class A can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CaliberCos Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CaliberCos Class A has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CaliberCos Class A may become a speculative penny stock
CaliberCos Class A has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 51.12 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (21.47 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (2.81 M).
Latest headline from news.google.com: CaliberCos CEO Outlines Strategy for Distressed Real Estate - TipRanks

CaliberCos Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CaliberCos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CaliberCos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CaliberCos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.3 M

CaliberCos Technical Analysis

CaliberCos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CaliberCos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CaliberCos Class A. In general, you should focus on analyzing CaliberCos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

CaliberCos Predictive Forecast Models

CaliberCos' time-series forecasting models is one of many CaliberCos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CaliberCos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about CaliberCos Class A

Checking the ongoing alerts about CaliberCos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CaliberCos Class A help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
CaliberCos Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
CaliberCos Class A has high historical volatility and very poor performance
CaliberCos Class A may become a speculative penny stock
CaliberCos Class A has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the last year's revenue of 51.12 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (21.47 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (2.81 M).
Latest headline from news.google.com: CaliberCos CEO Outlines Strategy for Distressed Real Estate - TipRanks
When determining whether CaliberCos Class A is a strong investment it is important to analyze CaliberCos' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact CaliberCos' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding CaliberCos Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out CaliberCos Analysis, CaliberCos Valuation, CaliberCos Correlation, CaliberCos Hype Analysis, CaliberCos Volatility, CaliberCos Price History as well as CaliberCos Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could CaliberCos diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CaliberCos. Projected growth potential of CaliberCos fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every CaliberCos data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share
(18.69)
Revenue Per Share
15.969
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.68)
Return On Assets
(0.06)
Return On Equity
(0.75)
Investors evaluate CaliberCos Class A using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating CaliberCos' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause CaliberCos' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between CaliberCos' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CaliberCos should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, CaliberCos' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.