Calibercos Class A Stock Market Outlook
| CWD Stock | 1.26 0.01 0.80% |
About 61% of CaliberCos' investor base is looking to short. The analysis of overall sentiment of trading CaliberCos Class A stock suggests that many investors are alarmed at this time. The current market sentiment, together with CaliberCos' historical and current headlines, can help investors time the market. In addition, many technical investors use CaliberCos Class A stock news signals to limit their universe of possible portfolio assets.
Comfort Level 39
Alarmed
Panic | Confidence |
Today, several news technology companies offer sentiment data to assist traders in manufacturing news sentiment indicators for investment decisions. We partner with these technology firms in helping retail investors build forecasting models that use CaliberCos' input sentiment indicators derived from textual data and news published on major financial information outlets and social sites. These indicators can be used to analyze time-dependent numerical information representing public perception toward CaliberCos Class A.
News SentimentNeutral | Hype SentimentBearish | Insider SentimentWaiting |
Considering the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding CaliberCos Class A is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides CaliberCos buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding CWD positions.
CaliberCos | Build AI portfolio with CaliberCos Stock |
Execute CaliberCos Advice
The CaliberCos recommendation should be used to complement the investment advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on CaliberCos Class A. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in CaliberCos Class A or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute CaliberCos' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Sell
Market Performance | Weakest | Details | |
Volatility | Extremely Dangerous | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Hazard | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Slowly supersedes the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Strong Buy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
For the selected time horizon CaliberCos Class A has a Mean Deviation of 4.15, Standard Deviation of 5.6 and Variance of 31.36We provide trade advice to complement the prevailing expert consensus on CaliberCos Class A. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at the time. To make sure CaliberCos is not overpriced, please confirm all CaliberCos Class A fundamentals, including its number of shares shorted, book value per share, total asset, as well as the relationship between the gross profit and target price . Given that CaliberCos is a hitting penny stock territory we recommend to closely look at its shares owned by institutions.
CaliberCos Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| CaliberCos Class A generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| CaliberCos Class A has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| CaliberCos Class A may become a speculative penny stock | |
| CaliberCos Class A has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 51.12 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (21.47 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (2.81 M). | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CaliberCos CEO Outlines Strategy for Distressed Real Estate - TipRanks |
CaliberCos Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of CaliberCos' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of CaliberCos' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of CaliberCos daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use CaliberCos Class A price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of CaliberCos returns is essential to provide solid investment analysis for CaliberCos.
| Mean Return | -1.16 | Value At Risk | -8.33 | Potential Upside | 9.52 | Standard Deviation | 5.60 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of CaliberCos historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
CaliberCos Cash Flow Accounts
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 5.7M | (598K) | 1.7M | (12.7M) | (11.5M) | (10.9M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | (15.0M) | (7.4M) | (18.7M) | 555K | 638.3K | 670.2K | |
| Depreciation | 10.5M | 9.3M | 10.9M | 6.2M | 7.1M | 9.5M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (3.0M) | (26.2M) | (3.6M) | 9.4M | 8.4M | 8.8M | |
| Dividends Paid | (439.9K) | 244K | 7.2M | 61.9M | 71.1M | 74.7M | |
| Capital Expenditures | 4.5M | 9.4M | 5.0M | 679K | 207K | 0.0 | |
| Net Income | (21.2M) | 14.0M | (27.6M) | (21.5M) | (19.3M) | (18.4M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 16.5M | 15.9M | 17.6M | 4.9M | 4.4M | 4.2M | |
| Investments | (14.3M) | (31.8M) | (51.8M) | (19.6M) | (17.7M) | (18.5M) | |
| Net Borrowings | 14.9M | 19.5M | 20.4M | (4.0M) | (4.6M) | (4.3M) |
CaliberCos Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to CaliberCos or Capital Markets sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that CaliberCos' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a CaliberCos stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.73 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.22 |
CaliberCos Volatility Alert
CaliberCos Class A exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.35 and kurtosis of 0.79. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure CaliberCos' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact CaliberCos' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.CaliberCos Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing CaliberCos' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze CaliberCos' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between CaliberCos and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as CaliberCos or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of CaliberCos' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CaliberCos by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare CaliberCos to competition |
| Fundamentals | CaliberCos | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.75 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0604 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (1.03) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.51) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 60.35 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 6.53 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 4.60 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 1.98 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 54.93 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Book | 2.06 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.35 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 51.12 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | (2.81 M) | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (7.14 M) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (21.47 M) | 570.98 M |
| Total Debt | 81.76 M | 5.32 B |
| Book Value Per Share | 0.77 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 555 K | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 0.51 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (18.69) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 7.0 | |
| Number Of Employees | 81 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | -0.25 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 8.63 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 105.53 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (56.61 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 9.29 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 105.53 M |
Note: Insider Trading [view details]
CaliberCos Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as CaliberCos . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About CaliberCos Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell CaliberCos Class A? Buying financial instruments such as CaliberCos Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having CaliberCos in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
Run Municipals ETFs Thematic Idea Now
Municipals ETFs
ETF themes focus on helping investors to gain exposure to a broad range of assets, diversify, and lower overall costs. The Municipals ETFs theme has 159 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Municipals ETFs Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
| View All Next | Launch |
Check out CaliberCos Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Will Asset Management & Custody Banks sector continue expanding? Could CaliberCos diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CaliberCos. Projected growth potential of CaliberCos fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every CaliberCos data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Earnings Share (18.69) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.68) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Investors evaluate CaliberCos Class A using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating CaliberCos' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause CaliberCos' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between CaliberCos' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding CaliberCos should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, CaliberCos' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.