The Caldwell Partners Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.74

CWLPF Stock  USD 0.78  0.06  8.33%   
Caldwell Partners' future price is the expected price of Caldwell Partners instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Caldwell Partners performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Caldwell Partners Backtesting, Caldwell Partners Valuation, Caldwell Partners Correlation, Caldwell Partners Hype Analysis, Caldwell Partners Volatility, Caldwell Partners History as well as Caldwell Partners Performance.
  
Please specify Caldwell Partners' target price for which you would like Caldwell Partners odds to be computed.

Caldwell Partners Target Price Odds to finish below 0.74

The tendency of Caldwell OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.74  or more in 90 days
 0.78 90 days 0.74 
about 12.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Caldwell Partners to drop to $ 0.74  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.84 (This The Caldwell Partners probability density function shows the probability of Caldwell OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Caldwell Partners price to stay between $ 0.74  and its current price of $0.78 at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.11 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Caldwell Partners has a beta of 0.31 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Caldwell Partners average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Caldwell Partners will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Caldwell Partners has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Caldwell Partners Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Caldwell Partners

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caldwell Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.040.784.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.654.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.020.764.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.780.780.78
Details

Caldwell Partners Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Caldwell Partners is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Caldwell Partners' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Caldwell Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Caldwell Partners within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Caldwell Partners Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Caldwell Partners for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Caldwell Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Caldwell Partners has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Caldwell Partners had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Caldwell Partners Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Caldwell OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Caldwell Partners' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caldwell Partners' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float17.7 M

Caldwell Partners Technical Analysis

Caldwell Partners' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Caldwell OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Caldwell Partners. In general, you should focus on analyzing Caldwell OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Caldwell Partners Predictive Forecast Models

Caldwell Partners' time-series forecasting models is one of many Caldwell Partners' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Caldwell Partners' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Caldwell Partners

Checking the ongoing alerts about Caldwell Partners for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Caldwell Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Caldwell Partners has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Caldwell Partners had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Caldwell OTC Stock

Caldwell Partners financial ratios help investors to determine whether Caldwell OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Caldwell with respect to the benefits of owning Caldwell Partners security.