Diversified Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 13.21

DEC Stock   13.21  0.05  0.38%   
Diversified Energy's future price is the expected price of Diversified Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Diversified Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Diversified Energy Analysis, Diversified Energy Valuation, Diversified Energy Correlation, Diversified Energy Hype Analysis, Diversified Energy Volatility, Diversified Energy Price History as well as Diversified Energy Performance.
For information on how to trade Diversified Stock refer to our How to Trade Diversified Stock guide.At present, Diversified Energy's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 2.55, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 1.09. Please specify Diversified Energy's target price for which you would like Diversified Energy odds to be computed.

Diversified Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 13.21

The tendency of Diversified Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 13.21 90 days 13.21 
about 80.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Diversified Energy to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 80.52 (This Diversified Energy probability density function shows the probability of Diversified Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Diversified Energy has a beta of 0.41 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Diversified Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Diversified Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Diversified Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Diversified Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Diversified Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diversified Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Diversified Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7613.2615.76
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.8916.9219.42
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
18.9620.8323.12
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.400.400.40
Details

Diversified Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Diversified Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Diversified Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Diversified Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Diversified Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.86
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Diversified Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Diversified Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Diversified Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Diversified Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 794.84 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (87 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 625.84 M.
Diversified Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 31st of December 2025 Diversified Energy paid 0.29 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: How DECs US200m High-Coupon Nordic Bond Tap Could Reshape Diversified Energys Risk-Reward Profile

Diversified Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Diversified Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Diversified Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diversified Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.6 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsM

Diversified Energy Technical Analysis

Diversified Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Diversified Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Diversified Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Diversified Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Diversified Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Diversified Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Diversified Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Diversified Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Diversified Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Diversified Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Diversified Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Diversified Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 794.84 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (87 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 625.84 M.
Diversified Energy has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 31st of December 2025 Diversified Energy paid 0.29 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: How DECs US200m High-Coupon Nordic Bond Tap Could Reshape Diversified Energys Risk-Reward Profile
When determining whether Diversified Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Diversified Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Diversified Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Diversified Energy Stock:
Will Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sector continue expanding? Could Diversified diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Diversified Energy. Projected growth potential of Diversified fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Diversified Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.98)
Dividend Share
1.16
Earnings Share
(2.66)
Revenue Per Share
19.517
Quarterly Revenue Growth
1.117
Investors evaluate Diversified Energy using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Diversified Energy's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Diversified Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Diversified Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Diversified Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Diversified Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.