Diversified Energy Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| DEC Stock | 12.95 0.12 0.92% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Diversified Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 13.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.89. Diversified Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Diversified Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Diversified Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Diversified Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of Diversified Energy's share price is approaching 45 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Diversified Energy, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Diversified Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Diversified Energy from the perspective of Diversified Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Diversified Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 13.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.89. Diversified Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 12.95 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Diversified Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Diversified price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Diversified using various technical indicators. When you analyze Diversified charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Diversified Energy Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Diversified Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 13.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Diversified Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Diversified Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Diversified Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Diversified Energy | Diversified Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Diversified Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Diversified Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Diversified Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 10.34 and 15.69, respectively. We have considered Diversified Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Diversified Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Diversified Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.7145 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -8.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3371 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0243 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 19.89 |
Predictive Modules for Diversified Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diversified Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Diversified Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Diversified Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Diversified Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Diversified Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Diversified Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Diversified Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Diversified Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Diversified Energy's historical news coverage. Diversified Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.27 and 15.63, respectively. We have considered Diversified Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Diversified Energy is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Diversified Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Diversified Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Diversified Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Diversified Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Diversified Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 2.68 | 0.05 | 0.01 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.95 | 12.95 | 0.00 |
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Diversified Energy Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of January Diversified Energy is traded for 12.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Diversified is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Diversified Energy is about 1288.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.96. About 77.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.34. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Diversified Energy recorded a loss per share of 2.66. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2025. The firm had 1:20 split on the 5th of December 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diversified Energy to cross-verify your projections.Diversified Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Diversified Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Diversified Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Diversified Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Diversified Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NVGS | Navigator Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.85 | 0.12 | 2.82 | (1.42) | 7.71 | |
| TTI | Tetra Technologies | 1.04 | 5 per month | 2.54 | 0.19 | 5.99 | (4.14) | 15.22 | |
| HNRG | Hallador Energy | 1.04 | 3 per month | 4.64 | (0) | 6.07 | (7.33) | 34.22 | |
| RES | RPC Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | 0.15 | 4.77 | (2.96) | 18.92 | |
| WBI | WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.46 | (4.27) | 10.68 | |
| KOS | Kosmos Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 8.79 | (5.99) | 25.11 | |
| NPKI | NPK International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.32 | 0.03 | 3.96 | (2.94) | 12.44 | |
| NESR | National Energy Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.77 | 0.23 | 7.21 | (2.98) | 22.01 | |
| HPK | Highpeak Energy Acquisition | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 7.59 | (8.90) | 21.96 | |
| HLX | Helix Energy Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.78 | 0.03 | 4.58 | (4.43) | 12.24 |
Other Forecasting Options for Diversified Energy
For every potential investor in Diversified, whether a beginner or expert, Diversified Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Diversified Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Diversified. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Diversified Energy's price trends.Diversified Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Diversified Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Diversified Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Diversified Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Diversified Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Diversified Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Diversified Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Diversified Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Diversified Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 10885.63 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.38) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 13.08 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 13.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.19) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.12) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 45.51 |
Diversified Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Diversified Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Diversified Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting diversified stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.68 | |||
| Variance | 7.16 | |||
| Downside Variance | 8.92 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.53 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.85) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Diversified Energy
The number of cover stories for Diversified Energy depends on current market conditions and Diversified Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Diversified Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Diversified Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Diversified Energy Short Properties
Diversified Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Diversified Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Diversified Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Diversified Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diversified Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diversified Energy to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Diversified Stock refer to our How to Trade Diversified Stock guide.You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Diversified Energy. If investors know Diversified will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Diversified Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Diversified Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Diversified that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Diversified Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Diversified Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Diversified Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Diversified Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Diversified Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Diversified Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Diversified Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.