Diversified Energy Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| DEC Stock | 14.26 0.54 3.65% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Diversified Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 14.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.89. Diversified Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Diversified Energy stock prices and determine the direction of Diversified Energy's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Diversified Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time The value of relative strength index of Diversified Energy's share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 86
Buy Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.965 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.6 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.0083 | Wall Street Target Price 20.8333 |
Using Diversified Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Diversified Energy from the perspective of Diversified Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Diversified Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Diversified Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Diversified. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Diversified can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Diversified Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Diversified Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Diversified Energy.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Diversified Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 14.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.89. Diversified Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 14.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Diversified | Build AI portfolio with Diversified Stock |
Diversified Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Diversified price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Diversified using various technical indicators. When you analyze Diversified charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Diversified Energy Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Diversified Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 14.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.26, mean absolute percentage error of 0.12, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.89.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Diversified Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Diversified Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Diversified Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Diversified Energy | Diversified Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Diversified Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Diversified Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Diversified Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.85 and 16.58, respectively. We have considered Diversified Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Diversified Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Diversified Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0347 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2648 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.019 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.8864 |
Predictive Modules for Diversified Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diversified Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Diversified Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Diversified Energy
For every potential investor in Diversified, whether a beginner or expert, Diversified Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Diversified Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Diversified. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Diversified Energy's price trends.Diversified Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Diversified Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Diversified Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Diversified Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Diversified Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Diversified Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Diversified Energy's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Diversified Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Diversified Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Diversified Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Diversified Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Diversified Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 42848.67 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.50) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 14.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 14.22 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.21) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.54) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 86.66 |
Diversified Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Diversified Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Diversified Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting diversified stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.34 | |||
| Variance | 5.49 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.74 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.48 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diversified Energy to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Diversified Stock refer to our How to Trade Diversified Stock guide.You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Diversified Energy. If investors know Diversified will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Diversified Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.98) | Dividend Share 1.16 | Earnings Share (2.66) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 1.117 |
The market value of Diversified Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Diversified that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Diversified Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Diversified Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Diversified Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Diversified Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Diversified Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Diversified Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Diversified Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.