Dream Finders Homes Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 28.51
| DFH Stock | USD 31.65 1.09 3.57% |
Dream |
Dream Finders Target Price Odds to finish below 28.51
The tendency of Dream Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 28.51 or more in 90 days |
| 31.65 | 90 days | 28.51 | nearly 4.82 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dream Finders to drop to $ 28.51 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.82 (This Dream Finders Homes probability density function shows the probability of Dream Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dream Finders Homes price to stay between $ 28.51 and its current price of $31.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.25 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.49 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Dream Finders will likely underperform. Additionally Dream Finders Homes has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Dream Finders Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Dream Finders
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dream Finders Homes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dream Finders Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dream Finders is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dream Finders' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dream Finders Homes, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dream Finders within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Dream Finders Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dream Finders for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dream Finders Homes can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Dream Finders Homes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dream Finders Homes has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Dream Finders Homes has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Dream Finders Homes Inc Trading 12.81 percent Higher on Nov 21 |
Dream Finders Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dream Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dream Finders' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dream Finders' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 106 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 548.5 M |
Dream Finders Technical Analysis
Dream Finders' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dream Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dream Finders Homes. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dream Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Dream Finders Predictive Forecast Models
Dream Finders' time-series forecasting models is one of many Dream Finders' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dream Finders' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Dream Finders Homes
Checking the ongoing alerts about Dream Finders for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dream Finders Homes help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Dream Finders Homes generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Dream Finders Homes has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Dream Finders Homes has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Dream Finders Homes Inc Trading 12.81 percent Higher on Nov 21 |
Check out Dream Finders Backtesting, Dream Finders Valuation, Dream Finders Correlation, Dream Finders Hype Analysis, Dream Finders Volatility, Dream Finders History as well as Dream Finders Performance. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dream Finders. If investors know Dream will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dream Finders listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.06) | Earnings Share 3.02 | Revenue Per Share 43.169 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.124 | Return On Assets 0.0907 |
The market value of Dream Finders Homes is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dream that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dream Finders' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dream Finders' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dream Finders' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dream Finders' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dream Finders' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dream Finders is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dream Finders' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.