Defiance Silver Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 0.072
| DNCVF Stock | USD 0.16 0.01 6.67% |
Defiance |
Defiance Silver Target Price Odds to finish below 0.072
The tendency of Defiance OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.07 or more in 90 days |
| 0.16 | 90 days | 0.07 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Defiance Silver to drop to $ 0.07 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Defiance Silver Corp probability density function shows the probability of Defiance OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Defiance Silver Corp price to stay between $ 0.07 and its current price of $0.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.09 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.53 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Defiance Silver will likely underperform. Additionally Defiance Silver Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Defiance Silver Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Defiance Silver
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defiance Silver Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Defiance Silver's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Defiance Silver Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Defiance Silver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Defiance Silver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Defiance Silver Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Defiance Silver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Defiance Silver Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Defiance Silver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Defiance Silver Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Defiance Silver Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Defiance Silver Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Defiance Silver Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.86 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (139.6 K). | |
| Defiance Silver Corp has accumulated about 13.62 M in cash with (2.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. |
Defiance Silver Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Defiance OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Defiance Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Defiance Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 221.7 M |
Defiance Silver Technical Analysis
Defiance Silver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Defiance OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Defiance Silver Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Defiance OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Defiance Silver Predictive Forecast Models
Defiance Silver's time-series forecasting models is one of many Defiance Silver's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Defiance Silver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Defiance Silver Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Defiance Silver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Defiance Silver Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Defiance Silver Corp had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Defiance Silver Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Defiance Silver Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (3.86 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (139.6 K). | |
| Defiance Silver Corp has accumulated about 13.62 M in cash with (2.87 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. |
Other Information on Investing in Defiance OTC Stock
Defiance Silver financial ratios help investors to determine whether Defiance OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Defiance with respect to the benefits of owning Defiance Silver security.