DOD Biotech (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.18

DOD Stock   2.18  0.04  1.87%   
DOD Biotech's future price is the expected price of DOD Biotech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DOD Biotech Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DOD Biotech Backtesting, DOD Biotech Valuation, DOD Biotech Correlation, DOD Biotech Hype Analysis, DOD Biotech Volatility, DOD Biotech History as well as DOD Biotech Performance.
  
Please specify DOD Biotech's target price for which you would like DOD Biotech odds to be computed.

DOD Biotech Target Price Odds to finish over 2.18

The tendency of DOD Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 2.18 90 days 2.18 
about 72.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DOD Biotech to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 72.45 (This DOD Biotech Public probability density function shows the probability of DOD Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.16 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, DOD Biotech will likely underperform. Additionally DOD Biotech Public has an alpha of 0.304, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   DOD Biotech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DOD Biotech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DOD Biotech Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.18220.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.091.89219.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.041.84127.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.132.172.20
Details

DOD Biotech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DOD Biotech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DOD Biotech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DOD Biotech Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DOD Biotech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.52
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

DOD Biotech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DOD Biotech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DOD Biotech Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DOD Biotech Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
DOD Biotech Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

DOD Biotech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DOD Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DOD Biotech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DOD Biotech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding410 M

DOD Biotech Technical Analysis

DOD Biotech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DOD Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DOD Biotech Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing DOD Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DOD Biotech Predictive Forecast Models

DOD Biotech's time-series forecasting models is one of many DOD Biotech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DOD Biotech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DOD Biotech Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about DOD Biotech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DOD Biotech Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DOD Biotech Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
DOD Biotech Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 48.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in DOD Stock

DOD Biotech financial ratios help investors to determine whether DOD Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DOD with respect to the benefits of owning DOD Biotech security.