Dor Alon (Israel) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7500.0

DRAL Stock  ILS 9,500  273.00  2.96%   
Dor Alon's future price is the expected price of Dor Alon instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dor Alon performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dor Alon Backtesting, Dor Alon Valuation, Dor Alon Correlation, Dor Alon Hype Analysis, Dor Alon Volatility, Dor Alon History as well as Dor Alon Performance.
  
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Dor Alon Target Price Odds to finish below 7500.0

The tendency of Dor Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to S 7,500  or more in 90 days
 9,500 90 days 7,500 
about 27.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dor Alon to drop to S 7,500  or more in 90 days from now is about 27.27 (This Dor Alon probability density function shows the probability of Dor Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Dor Alon price to stay between S 7,500  and its current price of S9500.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 71.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Dor Alon has a beta of -0.0455 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Dor Alon are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Dor Alon is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Dor Alon has an alpha of 0.3945, implying that it can generate a 0.39 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Dor Alon Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dor Alon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dor Alon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9,2269,2279,228
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8,3788,37910,150
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9,0759,0779,078
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8,5648,9719,378
Details

Dor Alon Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dor Alon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dor Alon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dor Alon, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dor Alon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.39
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.05
σ
Overall volatility
670.37
Ir
Information ratio 0.20

Dor Alon Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dor Alon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dor Alon can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dor Alon has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Dor Alon has accumulated 1.21 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 312.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Dor Alon has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dor Alon until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dor Alon's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dor Alon sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dor Alon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 85.0% of Dor Alon shares are held by company insiders

Dor Alon Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dor Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dor Alon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dor Alon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding15.8 M

Dor Alon Technical Analysis

Dor Alon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dor Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dor Alon. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dor Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dor Alon Predictive Forecast Models

Dor Alon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dor Alon's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dor Alon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dor Alon

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dor Alon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dor Alon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dor Alon has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Dor Alon has accumulated 1.21 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 312.3, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Dor Alon has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dor Alon until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dor Alon's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dor Alon sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dor Alon's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 85.0% of Dor Alon shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Dor Stock

Dor Alon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dor with respect to the benefits of owning Dor Alon security.