Dor Alon Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

DRAL Stock  ILS 17,000  580.00  3.53%   
Dor Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Dor Alon stock prices and determine the direction of Dor Alon's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Dor Alon's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time the value of rsi of Dor Alon's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Dor Alon's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dor Alon, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Dor Alon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dor Alon from the perspective of Dor Alon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Dor Alon on the next trading day is expected to be 16,689 with a mean absolute deviation of 361.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22,433.

Dor Alon after-hype prediction price

    
  ILA 17000.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dor Alon to cross-verify your projections.

Dor Alon Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Dor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Dor Alon price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Dor Alon Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 12th of February 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Dor Alon on the next trading day is expected to be 16,689 with a mean absolute deviation of 361.82, mean absolute percentage error of 191,565, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22,433.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dor Alon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dor Alon Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Dor Alon  Dor Alon Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Dor Alon Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dor Alon's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dor Alon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16,688 and 16,691, respectively. We have considered Dor Alon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
17,000
16,688
Downside
16,689
Expected Value
16,691
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dor Alon stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dor Alon stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria132.1114
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation361.8217
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.023
SAESum of the absolute errors22432.947
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Dor Alon historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Dor Alon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dor Alon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16,99817,00017,002
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13,75313,75518,700
Details

Dor Alon After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Dor Alon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dor Alon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dor Alon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Dor Alon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Dor Alon's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dor Alon's historical news coverage. Dor Alon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16,998 and 17,002, respectively. We have considered Dor Alon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
17,000
16,998
Downside
17,000
After-hype Price
17,002
Upside
Dor Alon is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dor Alon is based on 3 months time horizon.

Dor Alon Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dor Alon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dor Alon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dor Alon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
1.61
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17,000
17,000
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Dor Alon Hype Timeline

Dor Alon is currently traded for 17,000on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Dor is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dor Alon is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17,000. About 85.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.21. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Dor Alon recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.16. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dor Alon to cross-verify your projections.

Dor Alon Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Dor Alon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dor Alon's future price movements. Getting to know how Dor Alon's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dor Alon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Dor Alon

For every potential investor in Dor, whether a beginner or expert, Dor Alon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dor Alon's price trends.

Dor Alon Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dor Alon stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dor Alon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dor Alon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dor Alon Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dor Alon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dor Alon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dor Alon stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dor Alon entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dor Alon Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dor Alon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dor Alon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Dor Alon

The number of cover stories for Dor Alon depends on current market conditions and Dor Alon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dor Alon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dor Alon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Dor Stock

Dor Alon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dor Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dor with respect to the benefits of owning Dor Alon security.