Dixons Carphone Plc Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.02

DSITF Stock  USD 1.02  0.03  3.03%   
Dixons Carphone's future price is the expected price of Dixons Carphone instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Dixons Carphone plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Dixons Carphone Backtesting, Dixons Carphone Valuation, Dixons Carphone Correlation, Dixons Carphone Hype Analysis, Dixons Carphone Volatility, Dixons Carphone History as well as Dixons Carphone Performance.
  
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Dixons Carphone Target Price Odds to finish over 1.02

The tendency of Dixons Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 1.02 90 days 1.02 
about 87.13
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Dixons Carphone to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.13 (This Dixons Carphone plc probability density function shows the probability of Dixons Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Dixons Carphone has a beta of 0.31 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Dixons Carphone average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Dixons Carphone plc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Dixons Carphone plc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Dixons Carphone Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Dixons Carphone

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dixons Carphone plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dixons Carphone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.051.022.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.051.052.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.021.012.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.971.031.09
Details

Dixons Carphone Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Dixons Carphone is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Dixons Carphone's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Dixons Carphone plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Dixons Carphone within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.31
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

Dixons Carphone Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Dixons Carphone for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Dixons Carphone plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dixons Carphone plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dixons Carphone plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Dixons Carphone plc has accumulated 80 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.01, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Dixons Carphone plc has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dixons Carphone until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dixons Carphone's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dixons Carphone plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dixons to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dixons Carphone's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 80.0% of Dixons Carphone shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Dixons Carphone Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Dixons Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Dixons Carphone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dixons Carphone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.1 B

Dixons Carphone Technical Analysis

Dixons Carphone's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Dixons Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Dixons Carphone plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Dixons Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Dixons Carphone Predictive Forecast Models

Dixons Carphone's time-series forecasting models is one of many Dixons Carphone's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Dixons Carphone's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Dixons Carphone plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Dixons Carphone for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Dixons Carphone plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Dixons Carphone plc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Dixons Carphone plc has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Dixons Carphone plc has accumulated 80 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.01, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Dixons Carphone plc has a current ratio of 0.8, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Dixons Carphone until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dixons Carphone's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dixons Carphone plc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dixons to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dixons Carphone's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 80.0% of Dixons Carphone shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Dixons Pink Sheet

Dixons Carphone financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dixons Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dixons with respect to the benefits of owning Dixons Carphone security.