Diana Shipping Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.14

DSX Stock  USD 2.14  0.04  1.90%   
Diana Shipping's future price is the expected price of Diana Shipping instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Diana Shipping performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Diana Shipping Backtesting, Diana Shipping Valuation, Diana Shipping Correlation, Diana Shipping Hype Analysis, Diana Shipping Volatility, Diana Shipping History as well as Diana Shipping Performance.
For more information on how to buy Diana Stock please use our How to Invest in Diana Shipping guide.
  
Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to rise to 8.46 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 1.08 in 2024. Please specify Diana Shipping's target price for which you would like Diana Shipping odds to be computed.

Diana Shipping Target Price Odds to finish below 2.14

The tendency of Diana Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 2.14 90 days 2.14 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Diana Shipping to move below current price in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Diana Shipping probability density function shows the probability of Diana Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Diana Shipping has a beta of 0.29 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Diana Shipping average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Diana Shipping will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Diana Shipping has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Diana Shipping Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Diana Shipping

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diana Shipping. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Diana Shipping's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.112.144.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.462.604.74
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.042.014.15
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.533.884.31
Details

Diana Shipping Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Diana Shipping is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Diana Shipping's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Diana Shipping, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Diana Shipping within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.29
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Diana Shipping Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Diana Shipping for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Diana Shipping can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Diana Shipping generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Diana Shipping is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Diana Shipping has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Diana Shipping Q3 2024 Earnings Preview

Diana Shipping Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Diana Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Diana Shipping's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diana Shipping's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding101.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments162.3 M

Diana Shipping Technical Analysis

Diana Shipping's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Diana Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Diana Shipping. In general, you should focus on analyzing Diana Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Diana Shipping Predictive Forecast Models

Diana Shipping's time-series forecasting models is one of many Diana Shipping's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Diana Shipping's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Diana Shipping

Checking the ongoing alerts about Diana Shipping for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Diana Shipping help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Diana Shipping generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Diana Shipping is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Diana Shipping has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Diana Shipping Q3 2024 Earnings Preview

Additional Tools for Diana Stock Analysis

When running Diana Shipping's price analysis, check to measure Diana Shipping's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Diana Shipping is operating at the current time. Most of Diana Shipping's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Diana Shipping's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Diana Shipping's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Diana Shipping to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.