Eche Izquierdo (Chile) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 161.40
| EISA Stock | CLP 162.20 4.97 3.16% |
Eche |
Eche Izquierdo Target Price Odds to finish below 161.40
The tendency of Eche Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 161.40 or more in 90 days |
| 162.20 | 90 days | 161.40 | about 27.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eche Izquierdo to drop to 161.40 or more in 90 days from now is about 27.94 (This Eche Izquierdo probability density function shows the probability of Eche Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eche Izquierdo price to stay between 161.40 and its current price of 162.2 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.21 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Eche Izquierdo has a beta of -0.0014 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Eche Izquierdo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Eche Izquierdo is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Eche Izquierdo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Eche Izquierdo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Eche Izquierdo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eche Izquierdo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Eche Izquierdo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eche Izquierdo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eche Izquierdo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eche Izquierdo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eche Izquierdo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0014 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.3 |
Eche Izquierdo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eche Izquierdo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eche Izquierdo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Eche Izquierdo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Eche Izquierdo has accumulated 45.77 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Eche Izquierdo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eche Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eche Izquierdo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eche Izquierdo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 599.3 M |
Eche Izquierdo Technical Analysis
Eche Izquierdo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eche Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eche Izquierdo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eche Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Eche Izquierdo Predictive Forecast Models
Eche Izquierdo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eche Izquierdo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eche Izquierdo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Eche Izquierdo
Checking the ongoing alerts about Eche Izquierdo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eche Izquierdo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Eche Izquierdo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Eche Izquierdo has accumulated 45.77 Billion in debt which can lead to volatile earnings | |
| About 75.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Eche Stock
Eche Izquierdo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Eche Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Eche with respect to the benefits of owning Eche Izquierdo security.