El Paso Energy Preferred Stock Odds of Future Preferred Stock Price Finishing Over 48.48

EP-PC Preferred Stock  USD 48.48  0.06  0.12%   
El Paso's future price is the expected price of El Paso instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of El Paso Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out El Paso Backtesting, El Paso Valuation, El Paso Correlation, El Paso Hype Analysis, El Paso Volatility, El Paso History as well as El Paso Performance.
  
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El Paso Target Price Odds to finish over 48.48

The tendency of EP-PC Preferred Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 48.48 90 days 48.48 
about 17.21
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of El Paso to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 17.21 (This El Paso Energy probability density function shows the probability of EP-PC Preferred Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon El Paso has a beta of 0.056 suggesting as returns on the market go up, El Paso average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding El Paso Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally El Paso Energy has an alpha of 0.024, implying that it can generate a 0.024 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   El Paso Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for El Paso

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as El Paso Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.0548.4848.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.8348.2648.69
Details

El Paso Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. El Paso is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the El Paso's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold El Paso Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of El Paso within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.37
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

El Paso Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EP-PC Preferred Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential El Paso's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. El Paso's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.2 B
Dividends Paid2.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments745 M

El Paso Technical Analysis

El Paso's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EP-PC Preferred Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of El Paso Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing EP-PC Preferred Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

El Paso Predictive Forecast Models

El Paso's time-series forecasting models is one of many El Paso's preferred stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary El Paso's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the preferred stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards El Paso in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, El Paso's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from El Paso options trading.

Other Information on Investing in EP-PC Preferred Stock

El Paso financial ratios help investors to determine whether EP-PC Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EP-PC with respect to the benefits of owning El Paso security.