EPL (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 254.53
| EPL Stock | 285.45 25.95 10.00% |
EPL |
EPL Target Price Odds to finish below 254.53
The tendency of EPL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 254.53 or more in 90 days |
| 285.45 | 90 days | 254.53 | about 34.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of EPL to drop to 254.53 or more in 90 days from now is about 34.79 (This EPL Limited probability density function shows the probability of EPL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of EPL Limited price to stay between 254.53 and its current price of 285.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.82 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon EPL has a beta of 0.0709 suggesting as returns on the market go up, EPL average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding EPL Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally EPL Limited has an alpha of 0.2351, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). EPL Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for EPL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EPL Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.EPL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. EPL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the EPL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold EPL Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of EPL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.78 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
EPL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of EPL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for EPL Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Epl Ltd. Reports Strong Financial Performance in Q3, Potential for Growth - MarketsMojo |
EPL Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of EPL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential EPL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. EPL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 319.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
EPL Technical Analysis
EPL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. EPL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of EPL Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing EPL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
EPL Predictive Forecast Models
EPL's time-series forecasting models is one of many EPL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary EPL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about EPL Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about EPL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for EPL Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Epl Ltd. Reports Strong Financial Performance in Q3, Potential for Growth - MarketsMojo |
Other Information on Investing in EPL Stock
EPL financial ratios help investors to determine whether EPL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EPL with respect to the benefits of owning EPL security.