Establishment Labs Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 87.88
| ESTA Stock | USD 43.08 0.47 1.10% |
Establishment |
Establishment Labs Target Price Odds to finish over 87.88
The tendency of Establishment Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 87.88 or more in 90 days |
| 43.08 | 90 days | 87.88 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Establishment Labs to move over $ 87.88 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Establishment Labs Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Establishment Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Establishment Labs price to stay between its current price of $ 43.08 and $ 87.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.91 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.82 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Establishment Labs will likely underperform. Additionally Establishment Labs Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Establishment Labs Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Establishment Labs
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Establishment Labs. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Establishment Labs' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Establishment Labs Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Establishment Labs is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Establishment Labs' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Establishment Labs Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Establishment Labs within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.82 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.63 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.01 |
Establishment Labs Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Establishment Labs for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Establishment Labs can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Establishment Labs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Establishment Labs has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 165.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (78.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 106.59 M. | |
| Establishment Labs Holdings currently holds about 65.35 M in cash with (88.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.68. | |
| Establishment Labs has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Establishment Labs Holdings Inc Trading 6.48 percent Higher on Nov 20 |
Establishment Labs Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Establishment Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Establishment Labs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Establishment Labs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40 M |
Establishment Labs Technical Analysis
Establishment Labs' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Establishment Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Establishment Labs Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Establishment Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Establishment Labs Predictive Forecast Models
Establishment Labs' time-series forecasting models is one of many Establishment Labs' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Establishment Labs' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Establishment Labs
Checking the ongoing alerts about Establishment Labs for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Establishment Labs help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Establishment Labs generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Establishment Labs has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 165.15 M. Net Loss for the year was (78.5 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 106.59 M. | |
| Establishment Labs Holdings currently holds about 65.35 M in cash with (88.51 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.68. | |
| Establishment Labs has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Establishment Labs Holdings Inc Trading 6.48 percent Higher on Nov 20 |
Check out Establishment Labs Backtesting, Establishment Labs Valuation, Establishment Labs Correlation, Establishment Labs Hype Analysis, Establishment Labs Volatility, Establishment Labs History as well as Establishment Labs Performance. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Establishment Labs. If investors know Establishment will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Establishment Labs listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.59) | Revenue Per Share 5.58 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.045 | Return On Assets (0.12) | Return On Equity (2.23) |
The market value of Establishment Labs is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Establishment that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Establishment Labs' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Establishment Labs' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Establishment Labs' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Establishment Labs' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Establishment Labs' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Establishment Labs is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Establishment Labs' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.