Exlservice Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.75
| EXLS Stock | USD 46.25 0.28 0.61% |
Closest to current price ExlService long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
ExlService |
ExlService Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 31.75
The tendency of ExlService Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 31.75 or more in 90 days |
| 46.25 | 90 days | 31.75 | about 1.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ExlService Holdings to drop to $ 31.75 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.11 (This ExlService Holdings probability density function shows the probability of ExlService Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ExlService Holdings price to stay between $ 31.75 and its current price of $46.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.36 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.13 suggesting ExlService Holdings market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ExlService Holdings is expected to follow. Additionally ExlService Holdings has an alpha of 0.2317, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ExlService Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ExlService Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ExlService Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ExlService Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ExlService Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ExlService Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ExlService Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ExlService Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.82 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.17 |
ExlService Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ExlService Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ExlService Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ExlService Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| ExlService Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: At US46.09, Is ExlService Holdings, Inc. Worth Looking At Closely |
ExlService Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ExlService Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ExlService Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ExlService Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 168.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 290.8 M |
ExlService Holdings Technical Analysis
ExlService Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ExlService Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ExlService Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing ExlService Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ExlService Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
ExlService Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many ExlService Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ExlService Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ExlService Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about ExlService Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ExlService Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ExlService Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| ExlService Holdings has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: At US46.09, Is ExlService Holdings, Inc. Worth Looking At Closely |
Additional Tools for ExlService Stock Analysis
When running ExlService Holdings' price analysis, check to measure ExlService Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ExlService Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of ExlService Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ExlService Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ExlService Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ExlService Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.