Expeditors International Of Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 126.43

EXPD Stock  USD 120.98  0.28  0.23%   
Expeditors International's future price is the expected price of Expeditors International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Expeditors International of performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Expeditors International Backtesting, Expeditors International Valuation, Expeditors International Correlation, Expeditors International Hype Analysis, Expeditors International Volatility, Expeditors International History as well as Expeditors International Performance.
  
At present, Expeditors International's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Cash Flow Ratio is expected to grow to 25.29, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is forecasted to decline to 4.08. Please specify Expeditors International's target price for which you would like Expeditors International odds to be computed.

Expeditors International Target Price Odds to finish over 126.43

The tendency of Expeditors Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 126.43  or more in 90 days
 120.98 90 days 126.43 
about 5.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Expeditors International to move over $ 126.43  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.33 (This Expeditors International of probability density function shows the probability of Expeditors Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Expeditors International price to stay between its current price of $ 120.98  and $ 126.43  at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.83 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Expeditors International has a beta of 0.2 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Expeditors International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Expeditors International of will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Expeditors International of has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Expeditors International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Expeditors International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Expeditors International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
119.56120.70121.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
101.93103.07132.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
116.64117.78118.93
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
97.72107.38119.19
Details

Expeditors International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Expeditors International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Expeditors International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Expeditors International of, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Expeditors International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.20
σ
Overall volatility
2.72
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Expeditors International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Expeditors International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Expeditors International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Expeditors International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. Shares Acquired by Lindenwold Advisors INC

Expeditors International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Expeditors Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Expeditors International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Expeditors International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding150.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.5 B

Expeditors International Technical Analysis

Expeditors International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Expeditors Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Expeditors International of. In general, you should focus on analyzing Expeditors Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Expeditors International Predictive Forecast Models

Expeditors International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Expeditors International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Expeditors International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Expeditors International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Expeditors International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Expeditors International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Expeditors International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. Shares Acquired by Lindenwold Advisors INC
When determining whether Expeditors International is a strong investment it is important to analyze Expeditors International's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Expeditors International's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Expeditors Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Air Freight & Logistics space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Expeditors International. If investors know Expeditors will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Expeditors International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.405
Dividend Share
1.42
Earnings Share
5.13
Revenue Per Share
69.694
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.37
The market value of Expeditors International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Expeditors that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Expeditors International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Expeditors International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Expeditors International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Expeditors International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Expeditors International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Expeditors International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Expeditors International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.