First Capital Real Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.68
| FCR-UN Stock | CAD 17.48 0.04 0.23% |
First |
First Capital Target Price Odds to finish over 17.68
The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 17.68 or more in 90 days |
| 17.48 | 90 days | 17.68 | about 82.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Capital to move over C$ 17.68 or more in 90 days from now is about 82.67 (This First Capital Real probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of First Capital Real price to stay between its current price of C$ 17.48 and C$ 17.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.02 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Capital has a beta of 0.0772. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, First Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding First Capital Real will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally First Capital Real has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. First Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Capital Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Capital Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.34 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
First Capital Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Capital Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| First Capital Real generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| First Capital Real has accumulated 4.09 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.96, which is about average as compared to similar companies. First Capital Real has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist First Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, First Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like First Capital Real sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for First to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about First Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 687.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (134.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 444.61 M. |
First Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 212.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 90.2 M |
First Capital Technical Analysis
First Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First Capital Real. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
First Capital Predictive Forecast Models
First Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many First Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about First Capital Real
Checking the ongoing alerts about First Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First Capital Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| First Capital Real generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| First Capital Real has accumulated 4.09 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.96, which is about average as compared to similar companies. First Capital Real has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist First Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, First Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like First Capital Real sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for First to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about First Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 687.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (134.36 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 444.61 M. |
Other Information on Investing in First Stock
First Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First Capital security.