First Capital Real Stock Performance

FCR-UN Stock  CAD 20.25  0.18  0.88%   
First Capital has a performance score of 9 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.0768, which means not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning First Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, First Capital is likely to outperform the market. First Capital Real right now shows a risk of 0.96%. Please confirm First Capital Real semi variance, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and accumulation distribution , to decide if First Capital Real will be following its price patterns.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in First Capital Real are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite somewhat unfluctuating basic indicators, First Capital may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in March 2026. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.045
Payout Ratio
0.2982
Last Split Factor
32:20
Forward Dividend Rate
0.91
Dividend Date
2026-02-16
1
First Capital, Inc. Boosts Shareholder Returns with Latest Dividend Declaration Amidst Regional Banking Optimism - FinancialContent
11/19/2025
2
First Capital S.p.A. Increases Stake in LAB Investments Through Treasury Share Sale - MSN
12/02/2025
3
Is First Capital REIT Undervalued After Its Recent Share Consolidation - Yahoo Finance
12/12/2025
 
First Capital dividend paid on 31st of December 2025
12/31/2025
Begin Period Cash Flow87.4 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities33.4 M
  

First Capital Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  1,889  in First Capital Real on November 10, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  136.00  from holding First Capital Real or generate 7.2% return on investment over 90 days. First Capital Real is generating 0.115% of daily returns and assumes 0.9612% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Simply put, 8% of stocks are less volatile than First, and 98% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Capital is expected to generate 1.18 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 1.18 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

First Capital Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of First Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 20.25 90 days 20.25 
about 1.22
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First Capital to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 1.22 (This First Capital Real probability density function shows the probability of First Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon First Capital Real has a beta of -0.0768. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First Capital Real is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First Capital Real has an alpha of 0.1537, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   First Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for First Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First Capital Real. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.2620.2221.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.1316.0922.28
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.330.330.33
Details

First Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First Capital Real, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

First Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First Capital Real can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Capital Real has accumulated 4.05 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.96, which is about average as compared to similar companies. First Capital Real has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist First Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, First Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like First Capital Real sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for First to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about First Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
On 31st of December 2025 First Capital paid C$ 0.036 per share dividend to its current shareholders

First Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of First Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential First Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. First Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding212.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments153.5 M

First Capital Fundamentals Growth

First Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of First Capital, and First Capital fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on First Stock performance.

About First Capital Performance

By analyzing First Capital's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into First Capital's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if First Capital has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if First Capital has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 280.46  294.48 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.06 
Return On Assets 0.02  0.02 
Return On Equity 0.05  0.04 

Things to note about First Capital Real performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about First Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for First Capital Real help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
First Capital Real has accumulated 4.05 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.96, which is about average as compared to similar companies. First Capital Real has a current ratio of 0.76, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist First Capital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, First Capital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like First Capital Real sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for First to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about First Capital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
On 31st of December 2025 First Capital paid C$ 0.036 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Evaluating First Capital's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate First Capital's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing First Capital's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether First Capital's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining First Capital's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating First Capital's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of First Capital's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of First Capital's stock. These opinions can provide insight into First Capital's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating First Capital's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact First Capital's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis

When running First Capital's price analysis, check to measure First Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Capital is operating at the current time. Most of First Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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