First Capital Real Stock Price Patterns
| FCR-UN Stock | CAD 20.25 0.18 0.88% |
Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.18) | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.3 | Wall Street Target Price 21.725 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.17) |
Using First Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Capital Real from the perspective of First Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Capital to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First Capital after-hype prediction price | CAD 20.22 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First Capital After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of First Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of First Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting First Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Capital's historical news coverage. First Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.26 and 21.18, respectively. We have considered First Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
First Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Capital Real is based on 3 months time horizon.
First Capital Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 0.96 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 3 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
20.25 | 20.22 | 0.15 |
|
First Capital Hype Timeline
First Capital Real is currently traded for 20.25on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. First is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 20.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on First Capital is about 482.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.23. About 47.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.07. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. First Capital Real last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. The entity had 32:20 split on the 25th of May 2010. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out First Capital Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.First Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how First Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NVDA | NVIDIA CDR | (0.55) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.90 | (3.43) | 9.47 | |
| NVDA | Nvidia CDR | 0.19 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.90 | (3.43) | 9.47 | |
| GOOG | Alphabet CDR (CAD Hedged) | (0.39) | 4 per month | 1.25 | 0.09 | 3.00 | (2.30) | 9.38 | |
| AAPL | Apple Inc CDR | 0.76 | 1 per month | 0.92 | (0.04) | 2.18 | (1.52) | 5.41 | |
| AAPL | Apple CDR | (0.16) | 3 per month | 0.92 | (0.04) | 2.18 | (1.52) | 5.41 | |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc CDR | (0.63) | 2 per month | 1.25 | 0.09 | 3.00 | (2.30) | 9.38 | |
| NFLX | Netflix Inc CDR | (1.62) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 1.80 | (3.74) | 8.14 | |
| MSFT | Microsoft Corp CDR | 0.21 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.82 | (2.72) | 13.66 | |
| MSFT | Microsoft CDR | 0.20 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 1.81 | (2.72) | 13.66 | |
| AMZN | Amazon CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.50 | (2.95) | 7.66 |
First Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About First Capital Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First Capital stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Capital Real, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Capital based on analysis of First Capital hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Capital's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Capital's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0564 | 0.0509 | 0.0458 | 0.0323 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.33 | 5.05 | 4.55 | 4.26 |
Pair Trading with First Capital
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if First Capital position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in First Capital will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with First Stock
Moving against First Stock
| 0.56 | PNC-B | Postmedia Network Canada | PairCorr |
| 0.31 | GFL | Gfl Environmental Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to First Capital could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace First Capital when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back First Capital - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling First Capital Real to buy it.
The correlation of First Capital is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as First Capital moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if First Capital Real moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for First Capital can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Complementary Tools for First Stock analysis
When running First Capital's price analysis, check to measure First Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Capital is operating at the current time. Most of First Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Price Transformation Use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets | |
| Portfolio Center All portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes | |
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios |