Franklin Electric Co Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 94.9

FELE Stock  USD 109.06  2.42  2.27%   
Franklin Electric's future price is the expected price of Franklin Electric instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Franklin Electric Co performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Franklin Electric Backtesting, Franklin Electric Valuation, Franklin Electric Correlation, Franklin Electric Hype Analysis, Franklin Electric Volatility, Franklin Electric History as well as Franklin Electric Performance.
  
At present, Franklin Electric's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 22.51, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to 15.08. Please specify Franklin Electric's target price for which you would like Franklin Electric odds to be computed.

Franklin Electric Target Price Odds to finish over 94.9

The tendency of Franklin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 94.90  in 90 days
 109.06 90 days 94.90 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Franklin Electric to stay above $ 94.90  in 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Franklin Electric Co probability density function shows the probability of Franklin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Franklin Electric price to stay between $ 94.90  and its current price of $109.06 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 93.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.77 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Franklin Electric will likely underperform. Additionally Franklin Electric Co has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Franklin Electric Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Franklin Electric

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
104.84106.67108.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.7694.59117.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
101.03102.86104.70
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
91.61100.67111.74
Details

Franklin Electric Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Franklin Electric is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Franklin Electric's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Franklin Electric Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Franklin Electric within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.77
σ
Overall volatility
3.88
Ir
Information ratio -0.0029

Franklin Electric Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Franklin Electric for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Franklin Electric can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 21st of November 2024 Franklin Electric paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Franklin Electric sheds 3.7 percent this week, as yearly returns fall more in line with earnings growth

Franklin Electric Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Franklin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Franklin Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Franklin Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments85 M

Franklin Electric Technical Analysis

Franklin Electric's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Franklin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Franklin Electric Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Franklin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Franklin Electric Predictive Forecast Models

Franklin Electric's time-series forecasting models is one of many Franklin Electric's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Franklin Electric's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Franklin Electric

Checking the ongoing alerts about Franklin Electric for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Franklin Electric help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 84.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
On 21st of November 2024 Franklin Electric paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Franklin Electric sheds 3.7 percent this week, as yearly returns fall more in line with earnings growth
When determining whether Franklin Electric is a strong investment it is important to analyze Franklin Electric's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Franklin Electric's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Franklin Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Franklin Electric. If investors know Franklin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Franklin Electric listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.05)
Dividend Share
0.975
Earnings Share
3.96
Revenue Per Share
43.688
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Franklin Electric is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Franklin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Franklin Electric's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Franklin Electric's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Franklin Electric's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Franklin Electric's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.