Franklin Electric Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| FELE Stock | USD 102.12 1.60 1.59% |
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin Electric Co on the next trading day is expected to be 102.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.25. Franklin Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Franklin Electric stock prices and determine the direction of Franklin Electric Co's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Franklin Electric's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Franklin Electric's share price is at 57. This usually indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Franklin Electric, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.895 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.1575 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.7325 | Wall Street Target Price 109.25 |
Using Franklin Electric hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin Electric Co from the perspective of Franklin Electric response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Franklin Electric using Franklin Electric's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Franklin using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Franklin Electric's stock price.
Franklin Electric Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Franklin Electric's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Franklin. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Franklin Electric stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 92.9868 | Short Percent 0.0161 | Short Ratio 2.06 | Shares Short Prior Month 600.7 K | 50 Day MA 96.2108 |
Franklin Electric Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Franklin Electric's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Franklin. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Franklin can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Franklin Electric Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Franklin Electric Implied Volatility | 0.34 |
Franklin Electric's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Franklin Electric Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Franklin Electric's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Franklin Electric stock will not fluctuate a lot when Franklin Electric's options are near their expiration.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin Electric Co on the next trading day is expected to be 102.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.25. Franklin Electric after-hype prediction price | USD 102.12 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin Electric to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Franklin contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Franklin Electric Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0213% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Franklin Electric trading at USD 102.12, that is roughly USD 0.0217 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Franklin Electric's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Franklin Electric Co options at the current volatility level of 0.34%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Franklin Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Franklin Electric's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Franklin Electric's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Franklin Electric stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Franklin Electric's open interest, investors have to compare it to Franklin Electric's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Franklin Electric is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Franklin. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Franklin Electric Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Franklin Electric Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Franklin Electric Co on the next trading day is expected to be 102.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.02, mean absolute percentage error of 1.78, and the sum of the absolute errors of 61.25.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Franklin Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Franklin Electric's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Franklin Electric Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Franklin Electric | Franklin Electric Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Franklin Electric Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Franklin Electric's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Franklin Electric's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 100.87 and 103.64, respectively. We have considered Franklin Electric's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Franklin Electric stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Franklin Electric stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.199 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.0208 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0106 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 61.2507 |
Predictive Modules for Franklin Electric
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Franklin Electric. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Franklin Electric After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Franklin Electric at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franklin Electric or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Franklin Electric, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Franklin Electric Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Franklin Electric's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Franklin Electric's historical news coverage. Franklin Electric's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 100.74 and 103.50, respectively. We have considered Franklin Electric's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Franklin Electric is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franklin Electric is based on 3 months time horizon.
Franklin Electric Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Franklin Electric is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin Electric backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin Electric, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.39 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 13 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
102.12 | 102.12 | 0.00 |
|
Franklin Electric Hype Timeline
Franklin Electric is currently traded for 102.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Franklin is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Franklin Electric is about 695.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 102.11. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Franklin Electric was currently reported as 29.61. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.74. Franklin Electric last dividend was issued on the 6th of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 19th of March 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin Electric to cross-verify your projections.Franklin Electric Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Franklin Electric's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franklin Electric's future price movements. Getting to know how Franklin Electric's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franklin Electric may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CSW | CSW Industrials | (0.02) | 6 per month | 1.57 | 0.19 | 4.21 | (2.83) | 13.02 | |
| MWA | Mueller Water Products | (0.08) | 8 per month | 1.40 | 0 | 2.38 | (1.95) | 5.94 | |
| CXT | Crane NXT Co | 0.60 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.24) | 2.60 | (4.02) | 8.12 | |
| KAI | Kadant Inc | (0.02) | 17 per month | 1.72 | 0.05 | 4.03 | (2.93) | 10.20 | |
| AGX | Argan Inc | (1.05) | 28 per month | 3.83 | 0.1 | 7.40 | (7.35) | 22.90 | |
| LSTR | Landstar System | (0.98) | 11 per month | 1.13 | 0.14 | 3.40 | (2.03) | 6.34 | |
| NPO | Enpro Industries | (0.11) | 15 per month | 2.56 | (0.01) | 3.53 | (3.85) | 9.97 | |
| MDU | MDU Resources Group | 0.05 | 10 per month | 1.18 | 0.02 | 1.79 | (2.13) | 8.59 | |
| GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | (0.54) | 10 per month | 0.84 | 0.10 | 2.34 | (1.74) | 5.83 | |
| WSC | Willscot Mobile Mini | 0.15 | 10 per month | 3.09 | (0) | 5.76 | (5.25) | 15.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for Franklin Electric
For every potential investor in Franklin, whether a beginner or expert, Franklin Electric's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Franklin Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Franklin. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Franklin Electric's price trends.Franklin Electric Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Franklin Electric stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Franklin Electric could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Franklin Electric by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Franklin Electric Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Franklin Electric stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Franklin Electric shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Franklin Electric stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Franklin Electric Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Franklin Electric Risk Indicators
The analysis of Franklin Electric's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Franklin Electric's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting franklin stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Variance | 1.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.31 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.12 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.27) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Franklin Electric
The number of cover stories for Franklin Electric depends on current market conditions and Franklin Electric's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Franklin Electric is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Franklin Electric's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Franklin Electric Short Properties
Franklin Electric's future price predictability will typically decrease when Franklin Electric's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Franklin Electric Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Franklin Electric's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Franklin Electric's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 220.5 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Franklin Electric to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Industrial Machinery & Supplies & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Franklin Electric. If investors know Franklin will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Franklin Electric listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.68) | Dividend Share 1.045 | Earnings Share 3.07 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.095 |
The market value of Franklin Electric is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Franklin that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Franklin Electric's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Franklin Electric's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Franklin Electric's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Franklin Electric's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Electric's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Electric is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Electric's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.