Fundamental Global Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.01

FGF Stock  USD 22.60  1.68  8.03%   
Fundamental Global's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Fundamental Global. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Fundamental Global based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Fundamental Global over a specific time period. For example, FGF250321C00005000 is a PUT option contract on Fundamental Global's common stock with a strick price of 5.0 expiring on 2025-03-21. The contract was not traded in recent days and, as of today, has 42 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at an ask price of $0.5. The implied volatility as of the 7th of February is 42.0. View All Fundamental options

Closest to current price Fundamental long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration

Fundamental Global's future price is the expected price of Fundamental Global instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fundamental Global performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fundamental Global Backtesting, Fundamental Global Valuation, Fundamental Global Correlation, Fundamental Global Hype Analysis, Fundamental Global Volatility, Fundamental Global History as well as Fundamental Global Performance.
  
The Fundamental Global's current Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is estimated to increase to 0.0007, while Price To Sales Ratio is projected to decrease to 0.65. Please specify Fundamental Global's target price for which you would like Fundamental Global odds to be computed.

Fundamental Global Target Price Odds to finish over 21.01

The tendency of Fundamental Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 21.01  in 90 days
 22.60 90 days 21.01 
about 71.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fundamental Global to stay above $ 21.01  in 90 days from now is about 71.46 (This Fundamental Global probability density function shows the probability of Fundamental Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fundamental Global price to stay between $ 21.01  and its current price of $22.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.58 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Fundamental Global has a beta of -0.74. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Fundamental Global are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Fundamental Global is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Fundamental Global has an alpha of 0.2808, implying that it can generate a 0.28 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Fundamental Global Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fundamental Global

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fundamental Global. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.0422.6031.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.2720.8329.39
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.1619.7228.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.6521.6324.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fundamental Global. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fundamental Global's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fundamental Global's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fundamental Global.

Fundamental Global Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fundamental Global is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fundamental Global's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fundamental Global, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fundamental Global within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.28
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.74
σ
Overall volatility
5.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Fundamental Global Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fundamental Global for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fundamental Global can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fundamental Global is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Fundamental Global appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Fundamental Global has about 12.83 M in cash with (4.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.37.
Roughly 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Top Dividend Stocks To Consider In February 2025

Fundamental Global Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fundamental Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fundamental Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fundamental Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding399.7 K
Cash And Short Term Investments2.4 M

Fundamental Global Technical Analysis

Fundamental Global's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fundamental Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fundamental Global. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fundamental Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fundamental Global Predictive Forecast Models

Fundamental Global's time-series forecasting models is one of many Fundamental Global's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fundamental Global's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fundamental Global

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fundamental Global for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fundamental Global help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Fundamental Global is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Fundamental Global appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Fundamental Global has about 12.83 M in cash with (4.21 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.37.
Roughly 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Top Dividend Stocks To Consider In February 2025

Other Information on Investing in Fundamental Stock

Fundamental Global financial ratios help investors to determine whether Fundamental Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Fundamental with respect to the benefits of owning Fundamental Global security.