First American Funds Fund Probability of Future Money Market Fund Price Finishing Under 0.61
| FGVXX Fund | USD 1.00 0.00 0.00% |
First |
First American Target Price Odds to finish below 0.61
The tendency of First Money Market Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.61 or more in 90 days |
| 1.00 | 90 days | 0.61 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of First American to drop to $ 0.61 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This First American Funds probability density function shows the probability of First Money Market Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of First American Funds price to stay between $ 0.61 and its current price of $1.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.6 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon First American Funds has a beta of -0.0026. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding First American are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, First American Funds is likely to outperform the market. Additionally First American Funds has an alpha of 0.0056, implying that it can generate a 0.005636 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). First American Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for First American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as First American Funds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the money market fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the money market fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First American's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First American Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. First American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the First American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold First American Funds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of First American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0026 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.98 |
First American Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of First American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for First American Funds can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| First American Funds has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
First American Technical Analysis
First American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. First Money Market Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of First American Funds. In general, you should focus on analyzing First Money Market Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
First American Predictive Forecast Models
First American's time-series forecasting models is one of many First American's money market fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary First American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the money market fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about First American Funds
Checking the ongoing alerts about First American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for First American Funds help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| First American Funds has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The fund retains all of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments |
Other Information on Investing in First Money Market Fund
First American financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Money Market Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First American security.
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