First American Funds Fund Price Prediction
| FGVXX Fund | USD 1.00 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
100
Oversold | Overbought |
Using First American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First American Funds from the perspective of First American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First American to buy its money market fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell money market funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
First American after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
First |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First American's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
First American Estimiated After-Hype Price Prediction Volatility
As far as predicting the price of First American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Money Market Fund prices, such as prices of First American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
First American Money Market Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Money Market Fund such as First American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.13 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
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First American Hype Timeline
First American Funds is currently traded for 1.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.65, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. First is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 0.4%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on First American is about 139.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.00. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days. Check out First American Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy First Money Market Fund please use our How to Invest in First American guide.First American Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to First American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First American's future price movements. Getting to know how First American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VTSAX | Vanguard Total Stock | 0.52 | 1 per month | 0.66 | (0.01) | 1.10 | (1.31) | 4.11 | |
| VFIAX | Vanguard 500 Index | (1.77) | 1 per month | 0.66 | (0.03) | 1.17 | (1.31) | 3.84 | |
| VTSMX | Vanguard Total Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | (0.01) | 1.10 | (1.31) | 4.11 | |
| VITSX | Vanguard Total Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | (0.01) | 1.10 | (1.31) | 4.11 | |
| VSTSX | Vanguard Total Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | (0.01) | 1.10 | (1.31) | 4.11 | |
| VSMPX | Vanguard Total Stock | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | (0.01) | 1.10 | (1.30) | 4.11 | |
| VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.66 | (0.03) | 1.17 | (1.31) | 3.84 | |
| VFFSX | Vanguard 500 Index | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | (0.03) | 1.17 | (1.31) | 3.84 | |
| VGTSX | Vanguard Total International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.15 | (1.56) | 4.09 | |
| VTIAX | Vanguard Total International | 0.32 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.15 | (1.59) | 4.11 |
First American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About First American Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of First American stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First American Funds, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First American based on analysis of First American hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First American's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First American's related companies.
Story Coverage note for First American
The number of cover stories for First American depends on current market conditions and First American's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First American is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First American's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in First Money Market Fund
First American financial ratios help investors to determine whether First Money Market Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in First with respect to the benefits of owning First American security.
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