Firefly AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 214.57

FIRE Stock  SEK 200.00  5.00  2.56%   
Firefly AB's future price is the expected price of Firefly AB instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Firefly AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Firefly AB Backtesting, Firefly AB Valuation, Firefly AB Correlation, Firefly AB Hype Analysis, Firefly AB Volatility, Firefly AB History as well as Firefly AB Performance.
  
Please specify Firefly AB's target price for which you would like Firefly AB odds to be computed.

Firefly AB Target Price Odds to finish over 214.57

The tendency of Firefly Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 214.57  or more in 90 days
 200.00 90 days 214.57 
under 4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Firefly AB to move over kr 214.57  or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Firefly AB probability density function shows the probability of Firefly Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Firefly AB price to stay between its current price of kr 200.00  and kr 214.57  at the end of the 90-day period is about 25.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Firefly AB has a beta of -1.02. This usually indicates Additionally Firefly AB has an alpha of 0.2053, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Firefly AB Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Firefly AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Firefly AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
197.51200.00202.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
163.93166.42220.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
204.90207.39209.87
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
192.29197.10201.91
Details

Firefly AB Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Firefly AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Firefly AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Firefly AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Firefly AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones-1.02
σ
Overall volatility
11.57
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Firefly AB Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Firefly AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Firefly AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Firefly AB Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Firefly Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Firefly AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Firefly AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments52.7 M

Firefly AB Technical Analysis

Firefly AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Firefly Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Firefly AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Firefly Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Firefly AB Predictive Forecast Models

Firefly AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Firefly AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Firefly AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Firefly AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Firefly AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Firefly AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Firefly Stock Analysis

When running Firefly AB's price analysis, check to measure Firefly AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Firefly AB is operating at the current time. Most of Firefly AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Firefly AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Firefly AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Firefly AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.